According to a new forecast, the generation change in RAM from DDR4 to DDR5 will take place faster than previously assumed. Yole Développement assumes that more bits based on DDR5 than DDR4 will be delivered as early as 2023. DDR5 will take off in the server as early as 2022.
Even after the market launch of the first DDR5 modules for the desktop PC, which are due to premiere in small numbers in the consumer sector at the end of the year with Intel Alder Lake, DDR4 memory will not lose its great relevance in the coming year 2022 either. As a new report from the economy predicts, the change will be slow and staggered depending on the platform, as with the previous changes – compared to the last change, the pace is nevertheless increasing.
In the server area, where DDR5 has been in test operation since the end of 2020, with the start of regular operation of Intel's Sapphire Rapids and later also AMD's Genoa platform in the coming year, with a share of the RAM bits supplied by over 40 percent calculated.
In the year 2023, DDR5 RAM should already have a market volume of over 50 percent (picture: twitter.com) The consumer segment should DDR5 one year later Achieve greater market penetration, Intel's platform in the mass market for desktops and notebooks will broadly support DDR5, products are also expected from AMD. According to the forecasts, two years after the introduction of the new main memory standard, more than 50 percent of the modules produced and delivered will come from the new DDR5 generation. An ambitious view from the experts. DDR4 needed almost double the time for this step.
The final changing of the guard from DDR4 to DDR5 is expected in the following years 2024 and 2025, in which DDR5 with market shares of over 60 or more than 75 percent DDR4 inherited. By 2026, almost 90 percent of all desktop systems in the private environment should work on the basis of a DDR5 platform.