Iran’s dangerous game in the nuclear poker

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Recent initiatives to resolve the crisis around Iran’s nuclear program have not yielded any rapprochement. Washington continues to put on maximum pressure, Tehran is responding with metered violations of the nuclear agreement.

From this Friday, as Iran intends to launch the “third Phase” of its withdrawal from the international nuclear agreement by 2015. At the beginning of June, he had already exceeded the allowed storage (300 kilograms) of low-enriched uranium, as well as the allowed degree of Enrichment (3.67%). “The Iranian atomic energy organisation will take, without limitation, all in attack, which is for the Expansion of the national atomic energy technology and the need for the research,” said President Rouhani (article image) on Wednesday. Foreign Minister Javad Zarif, the EU foreign representative, Federica Mogherini, in a letter, that Iran has lifted all restrictions on its nuclear-related research and development (R&D), reported on Friday, the Iranian news Agency ISNA. The EU called on Tehran, his recent steps to withdraw and to adhere to the provisions of the agreement.

Nuclear Enrichment Plant In Natans. Here is some 5,000 centrifuges of the older type are under the supervision of the IAEA.

“No quick access to weapons-grade uranium”

According to the international nuclear agreement by 2015 Iran for eight and a half years may undertake only limited research on its centrifuges for extracting enriched uranium. “Iran is currently allowed to have only two centrifuges in operation simultaneously. And until 2023, the use of high performance would be allowed to have centrifuges. With the degree of Enrichment could increase rapidly,” explained the Iranian physicist Behrooz Bayat in the DW-Interview. For the construction of nuclear weapons on 90 percent enriched uranium is needed. For use in nuclear reactors, uranium is enriched to about five percent, and for medical purposes up to 20 percent. The need for faster centrifuges will need to develop the country but only. “Iran’s announcement does not mean that the country can accumulate in a short period of time uranium up to 4.5, ten, or even 20 percent,” says physicist Behrooz Bayat. He knows the Iranian nuclear program, and worked as a consultant for the International atomic energy Agency IAEA in Vienna.

Smile under pressure: Iran’s foreign Minister Zarif and EU foreign policy chief, Federica Mogherini, at the UN headquarters in New York

Rohani, the EU’s new deadline

The Iranian President Ruhani was made on Wednesday at the same time, the return to the nuclear deal in view. Condition: Europe must ensure, within the next two months, Iran will benefit from the nuclear agreement promised economic benefits. Since the United States dropped out in may 2018 on one side of the international nuclear deal and new sanctions against the country have imposed, can also make the EU contract partners in Germany, France and the United Kingdom, only very limited transactions with Iran. Nevertheless, the Europeans want to save the agreement.

The Iranian oil Tanker Adrian Darya 1 after his release by Gibraltar on 18. August, previously under the name of Grace 1.

USA have interest in Iranian tankers

Iran is suffering from the US sanctions. With its strategy of “maximum pressure” the USA try to press the Iranian oil Exports to Zero. The sale of Oil is the main source of income of the country. In fact, the energy decreased exports drastically, because the United States is threatening all trade partners of Iran, countries with severe penalties. How far will the U.S. government go in its policy of “maximum pressure” to be ready to show the operations of the Iranian Tanker “Adrian Darya 1”. First, with Oil worth about 100 million euros-Laden Tanker at the initiative of Washington was detained for six weeks in Gibraltar. Now the U.S. special representative for Iran, Brian Hook, the Indian captain has, according to the “Financial Times” several million dollars reward in view, when he would drive the Tanker to a port where he might be seized at U.S. behest. US Secretary of state, Mark Esper, said, meanwhile, that “he had currently no Plan in the drawer, to seize the Tanker hardware.”

French President Macron is at the forefront of diplomatic efforts to find a approach Trumps on the price of the Europeans in the Iran issue

The EU and the US in different Ways

Recently, the French President, Emmanuel Macron, had launched an Initiative to help Iran on the loss of revenue from the Oil business over. Iran would therefore receive credit in the amount of 15 billion US dollars (13.6 billion euros), to be repaid with future oil sales back. The sum should be transferred to the Plan in accordance with the of the UK, France and Germany in three payments.

“Neither the UK, nor France or Germany, Iran’s Oil need,” explains Mehran Barati. The Iranian politicians in Exile continues, with a view to the G7 summit at the end of August in the French Biarritz: “Macron wanted to move the US President to China, India and Japan to give back the exception of permits for the Import of Oil from Iran. So he wanted to create the conditions necessary for a return of Iran to the regulations of the nuclear agreement. At the same time Iran should revise its previous exit, the steps should be”.

This Plan seems to have failed at the resistance of the Americans. The US Diplomat Brian Hook from castle “any exceptions or exemptions” of the sanctions. “We stand behind this campaign, the maximum pressure,” said Hook on Wednesday in front of journalists. On Wednesday intensified, the US government even sanctions against oil Supplies from Iran. They also praised a reward of up to $ 15 million for information and evidence on illegal Oil sales and oil Supplies to the shipping lane. It was the sixth tightening of sanctions against Iran within a week.

The oil Tanker Steno Impero was set up by Iran in the Persian Gulf, fixed – such incidents could be the trigger for a major military conflict.

“Dangerous Game Iran”

Neither Iran nor the United States is currently ready for negotiations, feared Barati. “The United States wanted to force Iran to its knees, and only from a Position of strength to negotiate. Iran has, in turn, registered that Donald Trump has on the international stage so far, little success. Tehran is playing for time in the hope that Donald Trump will not be elected again next year”. It was, however, so the exile Iranians Barati, a dangerous game and could end in a war.