The profit of the auto group has shrunk in the past year, under the dash by nearly a third. In the future everything will be better, announces the outgoing chief Executive, Dieter Zetsche – but how?
Dieter Zetsche is a lame duck (lame duck)? At least, that believes the auto analyst Frank Schwope of NordLB. “It may be that he is no longer addressed some of the issues with the necessary seriousness,” said Schwope in an interview with DW, “but I think that will change significantly, when the group will hand over the leadership to the former Daimler-development-in-chief Ola Källenius”.
In any case, the difference has to present by the end of Daimler-Chef with his last annual balance sheet a tart profit slump. Zetsche has already announced counter-measures in the major Car division – to name but without Details.
Farewell after 13 years at the top management of the group
“We are in the preparation of this programme,” said the Manager on Wednesday at the annual press conference. As long as the scope and the individual components were not fixed, he could not say anything further. The implementation is the responsibility of the new management Board team, Zetsche after 13 years in top management soon will no longer belong to. The choice of his successor will take place at the annual General meeting in may.
Problems with the car: Daimler production in Sindelfingen
The group’s earnings had collapsed in 2018 due to a weak car business by almost a third. The profitability of the major Car division had suffered in the past year under the trade dispute between the United States and China and the delivery stops for each of the diesel models.
Lower Return On Sales
The return on sales in the business area, which indicates the percentage of operating profit on sales was 2018, only 7.8 percent (in 2017: 9.4 percent). “We cannot and will not be satisfied”, said Zetsche. In General, the group is aiming for here, a value of eight to ten percent. The looks, Daimler now but again only in 2021 to the extent Possible. 2019, the Passenger yield is expected to be between six and eight percent.
2018 is the result of the group broke the bottom line to 29 per cent, to 7.25 billion euros. The sales Daimler was mainly thanks to the last division of the car to increase by two percent to 167,36 billion euros.
How will the group be in ten years?
“It’s now a question of whether Daimler has in ten years,” warns the Fund’s chief Bert Flossbach. He and other major investors expect clear savings goals from the group. “Daimler needs to make more effort to be more efficient,” says the car expert, the Fund management company Union Investment, Michael Muders. “You have to talk about the production depth of the group that is actually too big.”
His colleague Stefan Bauknecht of the Fund company DWS, which also urges “cost control as a priority”. However, the saving is likely to also forced the shareholders meeting, including the investors themselves: “We assume that the dividend will be reduced,” says Bauknecht.
Spot removal is not planned
A reduction was at least planned, said a Daimler spokesman on the verge of the balance sheet template. For the core workforce in Germany are excluded from the conditional dismissal anyway. Could suffer, however, the temporary workers that are employed by corporations in General, to be able to be more flexible to produce.
In 2017, Daimler had announced that, owing to the high development investments in the passenger Car division in 2021, four billion euros to save costs. Background among other things, the high level of investment in new electric models. In this year the first car of the new brand EQC comes on the market. As things Stand, the demand is so high, that Daimler could not use this in 2019 and 2020, said Dieter Zetsche.
In addition to the ongoing debate about Diesel and clean air, the 65-year-old is also expected to continue with the charges from the trade dispute between the United States and China. “We prepare for different scenarios,” he said. Also a hard Brexit would not be without consequences. The UK is Daimler’s fourth-largest car market.
Competition from Google and Co
And then, Yes, the big Tech companies from the USA pressure. “In fields such as networking and Software, we do not have enough Know-how,” says Daimler works Council chief Michael Brecht.
Shared mobility gains more and more momentum, providers such as Uber or Lyft with their platforms already today, what they could afford. “The Google subsidiary Waymo can spend 40 billion euros for the development of new systems. In comparison, our financial resources are rather small,” says Brecht.
Problem calls: Daimler-Chef Zetsche in December in Washington
Cooperation to reduce costs
The Daimler works Council is in favour of experts already required in development cooperation for cost-sharing of the German car manufacturers and large suppliers like Bosch and Continental, combining forces for a common Digital strategy.
“A good idea, provided it is approved at all by the EU competition authorities,” says auto analyst Frank Schwope. All this was in the US and soon probably the Chinese Tech groups oppose something.
State measures in this context, as in the case of Economics Minister, Peter Altmaier, brought into play, Daimler-boss Zetsche skeptical. The state should take care of especially good conditions in terms of infrastructure and education. “Industrial policy should not, in my view, in the foreground.”
The Chinese are grasping for Daimler?
Fantasies to greater investment in Daimler China may be said to have car-Analyst Schwope, however, already certain stimuli. Li Shufu, the owner of the Chinese car manufacturer Geely, Yes artern already with a share of almost ten per cent major shareholder in the stuttg.
“If transfer limitation from the German side, would be, could it be that Daimler would be back in the foreseeable future even more closely with Geely to each other,” said Schwope. For the Daimler Board of management that would certainly be unpleasant, but for the group, and perhaps also for the employees a further merging could be quite interesting. “If you are half-Chinese, it certainly has a better access to the Chinese car market, the most important market in the world.”