The withdrawal of the USA from Syria for the Kurds in Syria as a surprise. Long they had worked with the United States. Also, the US presence was a protection in many direction. Now you can discuss other options.
US President, Trump declared it is now official: The most important reason for the presence of American troops was omitted. The “territorial Caliphate” of the terrorist militia “Islamic state” (IS) had been defeated. The withdrawal of the remaining U.S. troops to be completed in 60 to 100 days.
With his decision, Trump continues through all other voices, warning against a retreat of the Americans from Syria. The IS is not defeated, said in a Tweet, the Republican Senator from South Carolina, Lindsey Graham. A withdrawal of U.S. troops was a big mistake and help the IS in its desire in the Region to re-expand.
Trump’s Withdrawal announced in March has already caused in the past months of uncertainty. The use of U.S. troops in the Region is of fundamental importance, according to a study by the International Crisis Group in September of this year. “He provides stability, because it guarantees, in an by the IS again liberated area of basic services. At the same time, he holds the Turkey and the Assad Regime from military action. He makes but also for a certain amount of uncertainty, since the from Washington coming signals are so ambiguous. Depending on the day and to the respective outer Person, it is from the Trump Administration once, the U.S. would leave Syria soon, and other Times they would remain at all times there, unless Iran would reduce its regional hegemonic plans. Or it is a message that lies somewhere between these two.”
US forces establish a new base in Manbij in Northern Syria, may 2018
Destabilising effects of the withdrawal
This ambivalence is the end. The things that suspected Mehmet Tanriverdi, Deputy Chairman of the Kurdish community in Germany, in the North of Syria for the Worse. The deduction would destabilize the situation further. To a the IS not be smashed permanently. On the other, the withdrawal of US-troops making the way for the Turkish President, Recep Tayyip Erdogan. “In Northern Syria, another Kurdish areas are likely to be occupied as it happened in Afrin in the spring of this year. That would mean the escape of many thousands of Kurds.”
The Northern Syria is in many fronts-torn country, a particularly embattled Region. In the turmoil of the war, the Kurds have created a relatively Autonomous Region. In your found, and members of different denominations will find protection – Christians as well as Yazidis. This Region is now threatened, says the middle East expert Guido Steinberg of the Berlin science and politics Foundation: “Americans freely give here may be a very important ally in the fight against the jihadists to launch. This will ensure that the fight against is will in the next few years will be much more difficult.”
The “Islamic state” is still present
The IS has numerous defeats. But still he is not defeated. Alone in Kurdish prisons around 3200 IS were fighters, said Mehmet Tanriverdi. Many others would have mixed with the population. They were now a huge challenge. “I’m afraid the Kurds solely with the IS not finished. We have already seen in the battle for the town of Kobane in the year 2014. Without reconnaissance aircraft, without the bombardment from the air by the Americans, the Kurds would not be able to rid alone of the city and IS not in combat.”
Warning against the “Islamic state”: Mehmet Tanriverdi, Deputy Chairman of the Kurdish community in Germany
Add to this, that the Americans fail now also as a protection of the Kurds against Turkey. The biggest beneficiary of this decision, the Turkish President Erdogan, therefore, Rami Abdel Rahman, Director of the Syrian Observatory for human rights in London says. The United States had decided to make the Turkey a joy, according to Abdel Rahman with a sarcastic undertone in the DW-Interview. The Turks had to play last may, some of the cards in your favor – such as the case of the Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi. Also, the fact that in Syria jihadist groups stop to play.
Added to the ethnic tensions within Syria, Abdel Rahman. “The American withdrawal will plunge the country further into Chaos, but also the ethnic tensions between Arabs and Kurds are heating up.”
The enemy in the eye, look out: fighters of the YPG near the town of Kobane, 2015
Policy Options
In this Situation, the political scientist Arzu Yılmaz, until Recently, the Kurdish-American University in the Iraqi Erbil teaching, have the Kurds in a dialogue with the Syrian government, has already been kept open. “You have given your jokers, the connection to the USA, never from the Hand. The presence of the US in Syrian Kurdistan was also a kind of deterrence against Turkey. But now there is a dialogue to find a political solution in Syria.”
Nevertheless, the situation in the North was overlooking Syria hard to come by, says Mehmet Tanrifverdi. Therefore, he pleads for a stronger political commitment from the EU. “It is very important now that you think about really seriously – that was also a proposal from France, to set up a no-fly zone over the North of ban on Syria.” A model could be the no-fly zone over the North of Iraq in the 90s. The current goal would be troop movements and flights on the Turkish side, as well as to monitor also from the direction of Damascus. “It is also important to stop Iran. That would bring a piece of security for the Kurds in the Region, but also for Israel.”
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