“Trump” in Poland?

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Nowhere in Europe, the USA enjoy such a sympathy, as in Poland. This is due to the history of Russia and a Portion of mistrust towards NATO. The country calls US-soldiers – and wants to pay for it.

On the way to Poland: US military convoy on the way to the “Atlantic Resolve”maneuvers 2017

Andrzej Duda know how vain hosts are ensnare. During the visit to the White house at the beginning of the week the Polish President brought it to Donald Trump in two words: “Trump”. So folk will name Poland what desire you in the USA – American soldiers in the country, permanently, and best in Division.

The “aggressive behavior of Russia” is a major concern for Poland, so Duda in Washington. Trump sees it. The Fears were right. For the U.S. President, the poles are real patterns-Europeans. They share his reservations about Moscow, distrust of multi-national alliances such as the EU and NATO, and would negotiate a loved one directly to Washington to have a military Deal. Not as an act of friendship but for cash. Violin sounds in the ears Trumps that of the West Europeans – particularly the Germans – for NATO-Freeloader holds that a strong America is like to protect, in the case of Transfers but not in default.

A “Trump” in Poland: President Andrzej Duda on 18. September in Washington

Poland’s state of mind and a Plan

Poland, in the Eastern periphery of Europe a de facto Outpost of the EU compared to the mighty Russia, has a distinctive, historically contingent need for security. Three subdivisions in the history and decades of vassalage under the red star, the country hold in the Putin Era in a permanent position of Attention. After the annexation of the Crimea.

Downright enthusiastic, which Poland received in January 2017, the arrival of some 3,500 US soldiers from Colorado in the Silesian town of Zagan, only 100 kilometers from the German border. With 87 tanks and 400 “Humvee”Jeeps. A rotation of the quota in the framework of the NATO action, “Atlantic Resolve”, which will be replaced every nine months by soldiers of other NATO-States.

Not enough for the Polish security needs. The national-conservative PiS government in Warsaw wants a permanent troop presence, no exchange units. Especially: It US to be soldiers. The Polish government has been advertising since last year, in the best lobbyists-a Tradition.

Poland’s Achilles ‘ heel: The good 100-kilometre-long Suwalki gap from Belarus to Kaliningrad

A document entitled “proposal for a permanent US presence in Poland,” under U.S. government officials, Congress members and Think Tanks in Washington, the round. Specifically, it’s going to be a complete armored division. The want to leave Warsaw for up to two billion US-Dollar cost. The former Polish foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski is known to DW that he “worked very hard”. Poland is a “Forward-presence”. Even if this could not stop a Russian attack.

Berlin’s Reluctance To

In Berlin, followed by the Polish Advertise US presence distanced or even critical. Security would be politically exacerbate “a permanent US presence in Poland, the tensions between NATO and Russia,” says the foreign policy expert of the social Democrats (SPD), Rolf Mützenich, compared to the DW.

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This is also the former General staff officer of the Bundeswehr and the CDU-member of the German Bundestag Roderich Kiesewetter similar. Although the NATO have confirmed summit in July to increase defence and response capability, “the permanent stationing in Poland ( … ), in all likelihood, the NATO-Russia founding act,” he told DW.

NATO and the NATO-Russia fundamental rights of 1997

And, on the Eastern border of the NATO, no military units stationed call. At least, not permanently. NATO is “interpreted” this phrase already and units in battalion strength rotate every few months.

Russia responds to the “Trump”plans of the poles still cautious. The shooting down of a Russian Military aircraft off the Syrian coast, superimposed on the current topic. Basically, however, the NATO will be presented in Moscow as a threat. The deployment of Alliance troops to Poland and the Baltic States after the annexation of Crimea in 2014 will be used as a welcome justification of Russia’s Eastern military border, to strengthen presence, including the stationing of nuclear Iskander short-range missiles in the exclave of Kaliningrad.

USA want to number at the end of a NATO Partner, and Poland is ready

Everything sounds like the worst upgrade times of the Cold war. But plans are not yet facts. “I don’t think the U.S. defense is thrilled with the Ministry,” the U.S. military expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) Heather Conley, to consider.

If Trump, the estimates of the poles as the “soul of Europe”, wants to meet Warsaw’s request, will join in the conversation, the U.S. Congress had the last word. And also the Pentagon will make “some very important questions,” says Conley. Add to that a possible cause of the bilateral military agreement between the United States and Poland must be closely linked with NATO to a vote. Then, at the latest will be held in Brussels in the NATO headquarters, the contracts with Russia from the year 1997 from the drawers.

Already there: US-Panzer brigades on the 10. January 2017 in Poland’s Drawsko Pomorskie

The issue of US troops on Poland’s Eastern border is also not fit to Trumps political priorities. He wants to make the USA in the North Atlantic defense Alliance, rather small, and other partners more accountable. A US-Poland Deal would have exactly the opposite effect: The United States would suddenly be stronger for the security of NATO’s Eastern border than in the past.