The new round in trade war US-China and the Amazon-set fires prior to the start of the G7 summit Agenda. Host Emmanuel Macron has done everything it can to prevent a debacle. But it won’t be easy.
The first exchange of blows took place before the start of the G7 summit meeting between Emmanuel Macron and the absent Brazilian head of state, Jair Bolsonaro. He had lied about his Commitments to climate protection,””, accused the Frenchman and the Brazilian. He is not going to ratify that is why the Mercosur free trade agreement, which was signed by the EU in July, with Brazil,. Ireland joined in this decision. Bolsonaro accused Macron then “colonial behaviour”. The charming theme of climate change provided the first Bang before the start of the G7 meeting.
Biarritz as a Ghost town
The centre of the old seaside resort of Biarritz is cordoned off round and become extinct like a Ghost town. The width of the beach in front of the venue, the Hotel du Palais is empty, swept, and even the ocean is closed to swimmers and surfers. The magnificent summer Villa of Napoleon III, in the middle of the 19th century. Century not built, perhaps the most appropriate place to discuss global inequality, as critics of the G7 meeting have pointed out mockingly. For the security of the state guests of 13,200 policemen, and even local residents must carry a special pass.
The beach as a high-security zone: French Gendarmerie in Biarritz
The expected counter-protestors are ousted from the city and gather in the French border town of Hendaye and in the opposite Spanish Irun. The police had tried in advance, members of the violence to identify the black Block. In addition, radical yellow are expected in the West and various groups of globalisation critics. The main rally of the summit opponents is scheduled for Saturday at noon, before the heads of government will gather for an informal dinner. Should it come to riots, as in some previous summits, then you’ll find certainly far from the perfect screened-in participants.
On the right track for the trade war
Before the official G7-the beginning of China set his next political needle against the US President. Of course, it was no coincidence that China chose this weekend to impose more customs duties of 75 billion dollars against U.S. goods. The US President hit back immediately via Twitter and lamented the billions lost to the U.S. in the course of the years due to unfair terms of trade and the theft of their intellectual property by the Chinese side.
But not only the next round in this trade war, the threat of a recession that could ruin his campaign, his squabbles with the US Central Bank about the proper monetary policy, and actually every other political issue ruin Donald Trump, the mood. The Situation is virtually a guarantee that he will arrive in a maximum of combative mood in Biarritz.
Especially the General discussion about a new relationship with China, the EU has a large interest, it can bring about, under these circumstances, no constructive solutions. Namely, once the US President has published the details of his counter-punches, is the right track for the next Turn in the heat up addressing. In the process, reforms of the world trade organization, a common Position in relation to Beijing and the question of whether a rule-based world trade has a future, pressing questions would be.
The Boris Show
The new British Prime occurs for the first Time in this framework. Its preparatory meeting in Berlin and Paris have not brought him here – contrary to some representations in the British press – the Brexit ahead. News, therefore, are not to be expected in Biarritz.
And Boris Johnson must maintain a careful Balance. He needs the Europeans to continue as the foreign policy and security Partner, and for the Brexit. He can dare so hardly to let Trump seduce and about in Russia or Iran policy suddenly from the shared line with the neighbors to depart.
Balancing act with design furniture: Boris Johnson on Thursday at the Emmanuel Macron
On the other hand, the US President is likely to use, with the greatest of pleasure to the British Premier as a fission fungus, the EU, to attack, to praise the Brexit, and to make Boris Johnson diffuse Commitments for a free trade agreement. The British Prime Minister can’t ruin it with Donald Trump – just as with the Europeans. He will have to show whether he has any diplomatic skills.
Horrorjob: G7-Host
It was earlier than honour to welcome the heads of government of the major industrial countries, and has developed this in the last few years, a Horrorjob. The French President has done everything to prepare for the Meeting well. He has met with Vladimir Putin to be invited to the contact to Russia strong, in the run-up to the Indian Prime Minister modi and even with the Iranian foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif has spoken to defuse the nuclear crisis.
Flowers for Madame Macron: Vladimir Putin in an interview ahead of the summit
But all of this should help him to Donald Trump, nothing. Because the course is all along the line on double designed: He wants to lead the hard-line against Iran, but Russia forgive the annexation of the Crimea and to invite Putin to the G7. He regularly attacks the EU and its Unity, because he thinks nothing of international organizations. His ideology of “America prevented first,” that the reforms of the world will be brought to the trade on the way. U.S. observers see the President at the G7 increasingly isolated. However, the great Europeans, Japan and Canada are not able to reform the international world order without the US involvement.
Emmanuel Macron, this Situation is a political nightmare. He has brought the issue of climate change in the face of devastating forest fires in the Amazon, in addition to the agenda. He will have the majority of the participants on his side, but not the U.S. President. The considered climate change as a business idea, because the melting power of glacial ice to the high North of Greenland suddenly a desirable property.
Macron had carefully canceled the traditional joint final communique before the summit. He knows that an agreement is impossible, and he wants to prevent that the summit will be officially declared a bust.