Two years of Donald Trump – two years of unpredictability

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In his previous two years in the presidency, Donald Trump has cashed in many of his election promises – and at the same time many friends of the United States alienated. A back and side view from Washington.

US President, Donald Trump is since two years in office. In this time he has taken some of the a lot of acclaimed and quite controversial decisions: He saw to it that the United States withdraw from the international nuclear agreement with Iran that the United States pull out of the already signed global climate agreement, as well as from the historic trade Pact with Asia – the TRANS-Pacific partnership (TPP).

Instead, he provoked a trade war with China, raised duties on European allies and ordered the speedy withdrawal of all US troops from Syria.

Domestically, he decided one of the biggest tax reforms in the recent history, and was extremely sharp against illegal immigration. Also, he triggered the debate about the construction of a wall to Mexico, the longest Shutdown in U.S. history. Another record could soon follow: never before has a U.S. President has appointed as many Federal judges.

No Surprises

This list shows only the most striking examples of the previous term of office, Donald trump. What is certain is that His presidency has a significant impact. But all of his steps, like you appear so unpredictable, that should not surprise anyone. Because Trump delivers on his election promises, as he communicates via Twitter.

In two years, Trump has already achieved much, for example, as the United States in the world to be seen. “Trump has a very negative influence on American foreign policy and certainly on the American ‘soft power’ in the world,” Joseph Nye is convinced. The political scientist and former Harvard Professor, coined the term “soft power” – the soft Power with culture, values, and reasoning instead of military strength.

No “soft power”: the US President, Trump knows just before he’s 10. January travels to Texas

For Nye, the withdrawal of the USA from the Paris climate agreement is one of the most dangerous political decisions Trumps. The reason lies in the long-term negative consequences for the international fight against global warming. In contrast, the exit from the Vienna atomic agreement with Iran was the worst short-term decision, says Nye. The decision to have harden not only the relationship with Tehran, but also the relations with many European allies are poisoned.

Penchant for falsehood

But not only Trumps political decisions are controversial. Similarly with his political style. He tend to tell the truth, so Nye. He was a President, the APE his own image of the world. “We had a difficult and dangerous presidents, such as, for example, Richard Nixon or Lyndon Johnson. But no one was so unpredictable and disingenuous like Trump,” says Nye.

Trump is an outsider among the American President, which would have proved the first two years in office. Of Barbara Perry is convinced. The political scientist works at the University of Virginia. “I would say he is a President. He falls completely off the Grid,” said Perry. “He is like no other before.”

The US electoral system has stopped Trump is not

The United States had already experienced many demagogues, stresses Perry. None have done it but to the White house, the electoral system could stop them. However, this System has a hook: The Americans do not elect their President directly, but their voices give the so-called choice of men in your state. How many choice men has a Federal state depends on its size. You choose then later the President.

Donald Trump speaks from the Oval Office in December to the Nation about border security

Trump made it to the presidency because he was able to convince the majority of the so – called choice of men in the total number of citizens ‘ votes, he was behind his competitor Hillary Clinton. For analyst Perry is clear, therefore: trump’s election victory is a warning that the System is flawed. “The fathers of our Constitution wanted the System with the choice of men to protect us from exactly these people: demagogue in the White house, in the office of the President.”

And what can we expect from Trumps second Amtshälfte, maybe even a second term? For political scientist Joseph Nye, is clear: We must adjust to even more unpredictability and unpleasant Surprises. Barbara Perry puts it even more clearly: “I’m afraid we can survive four years. But I’m not sure whether we can stand by for eight years.”