USA

Illusion and reality in the primaries in the United States

By primaries in the States to leave the parties in the United States determine which candidate they in the struggle for the White house to send. Still, everything is possible, even Donald Trump. From Washington, USA, says Ines Pohl.

As long: Donald Trump gives the direction to his followers to follow.

So properly understood even in the USA, hardly anyone
as a Caucus expires, what the difference is to the Primaries,
and what are the rules of the Republicans which the Democrats in the primaries differ. Every American know, however, that the primaries in Iowa and New Hampshire, of which the future of the men and women depends on the fight, from their respective party for presidential candidates to be made.

For someone who doesn’t have this System become large, it is hard to understand why Iowa is such a worldwide significance. This small state, in which only one percent of the total population of the USA live, there are four Times as many pigs as there are people, and every fifth American corn on the cob is bred. There is on 1. February, the official battle for the nomination of presidential candidates opened.

Small primaries with great importance

Iowa: Tall corn fields and of great importance

There is an almost philosophical question why these first primaries play such a role. They are so important, because they are already so often the Trend of the entire Vorwahlkampfes anticipated? Or are you so important, because the decisions of the people who participate, so important to be taken and, therefore, the Trend of the next few months?

For the top candidates is clear: Who in this bizarre election campaign in 2016, not from the beginning of the Bürgerabstimmungen scores, the later hardly can catch up. And if none of the two States the nomination is won, this could be for one of the Top candidates to a sudden end. Why is this so?

The voters win

In these primaries, candidates must show that they actually are eligible. That you not only are able to
Million dollars to collect
and important supporter on their side, but ultimately, the voters also can win. That they are not just at the polls victories, but in the people. So you need to show that the expectations they have aroused, actually able to meet: Not only appearance just, but His. The plays in this great media theatre and possibly the largest role.

The Trump Show is not coming anywhere

Interesting Team: Donald Trump and Sarah Palin.

These expectations to see if each candidate is naturally a little different. Let’s start with Donald Trump: For over half a year, it determines the media’s perception of Republicans. All of the commentators, in Spite of and regardless of his disturbing appearances: He dominated the headlines. If you believe the polls, people love him, because he has understood himself as the independent outsider position. As one who is not korrumpierbar. The man wants you to believe. And most of all a man who know how to win.

And exactly the could to him in Iowa to the disaster. Iowa is small, very white, very religious. The people are farmers and believe in God and not so much smug, raunchy jokes. Well possible that you are the Trump Show is not to be forfeited. And that also
Sarah Palin, the Multi-millionaire from New York recently pulled out of their hat,
to the religious working class to win, not a holster.

What then? What makes a alone on his Gewinnerstatus, if he loses? He throws out? Be trusted is him. Also, his inner-party opponents of this wound to know how to use. The Republican Establishment hates him so much that even the former New York mayor and billionaire Michael Bloomberg a possible candidacy publicly in the consideration of, if Donald Trump, the nomination of the Republicans wins, and Bernie Sanders and the Democrats.

And the Democrats?

No Team: Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.

Sanders is the provocation on the other side of the spectrum. A few weeks ago, it seemed unthinkable that this
unknown, self-proclaimed socialist
in fact, a serious opportunity may have against the Imperium Clinton, now with Hillary at the top. If you believe the polls, but appears to be exactly that.

What would be the for Clinton mean, when in fact Sanders in Iowa to win? Him so exactly what succeeds, what Barack Obama in 2008 has done. Its advisors themselves later said that this victory is the basis for his later nomination. Just because the winner all of the attention and positive coverage. And for the loser only gloating remains and the big question: Can he or she in the end it really make, when it comes down to it, so if the voters choose for themselves and not the apparatus?

These doubts are poison for the donor, for the supporters and, ultimately, the Undecided. History is full of examples with people who are in doubt about their attitude to sacrifice, in order to the side of the winner.

Rarely was the beginning of a campaign so charged and exciting. And never was the modern America so divided. Bernie Sanders on one side and Donald Trump on the other side are the faces of these extremes.