In the face of a looming escalation of the crisis in Venezuela observers hold mediation by Mexico and Uruguay for a possible way out. Also, the EU could play an important role.
The President of Mexico (López Obrador) and Uruguay (Vázquez) want to convey.
Sebastian Sperling looks at the worsening crisis in Venezuela with concern. For him, the polarisation has reached in the struggle for power in Caracas is a dangerous level. “The most unnecessary, in the current Situation is that individual countries are either behind a or behind the other presidents of Venezuela,” says the office Manager of the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES) in Montevideo. “Uruguay is one of the few countries that can take care of in this complex Situation, the role of a mediator,” said Sperling, who alludes to the recent educational program of the country.
Also, Mexico could play an important role in the search for an orderly way out of the struggle for power in Venezuela. However, the Mexican President, Lopez Obrador reiterated that “Mexico his Conviction of non-interference and self-determination of peoples remains true, which is why it continues to recognise the presidency of Nicolas Maduro”.
Tactical games in Caracas
For Geoff Ramsey from the Washington Office on Latin America (WOLA), a Church-related US-American NGO, this Position is “perfectly understandable”. However, I showed “the government of Maduro’s in the past that you delayed negotiations with the Opposition again and again, in order to gain time, and intentionally, into the Void run”. The difference this time, the Venezuela-expert, “could allow neither Mexico nor the Rest of the international community that the government in Caracas blocked the Transition to democracy was, however,”.
Sebastian Sperling, head of office, Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung in Uruguay.
Mexico had also, so to Ramsey, the necessary mediation of experience in Latin America. Thanks to Mexican diplomacy, an “agreement against the use of nuclear weapons and peace treaties in several Central American countries in the Region signed”.
Sebastian Sperling of the FES holds a purely Latin-American conciliation but is not sufficient: “Given the fact that Mexico and Uruguay are up to now alone with your offer, will have to step in, the European Union and support it. Just because the so-called Lima group, which consists of several South American States and Canada, and the United States are on the side of the Challenger Juan Guaidó, while Russia and China, state support chief Maduro”.
The current crisis of the state shows that Venezuela is a deeply divided country
Good experience with multilateral agencies
In fact, there is already a conversation thread between Brussels and Montevideo. 28. January language, the foreign representative of the EU, Federica Mogherini, with the Uruguayan President, Tabaré Vazquez, on the Situation in Venezuela and admitted afterwards that it was probably no consensus, Juan Guaidó as the legitimate President of Venezuela to recognise. The President of Uruguay offered to turn Montevideo as a place for mediation talks.
Can give the EU even after it has set, Maduro is already an Ultimatum to elections to declare? Or Uruguay’s President, the of the own Opposition in the country is accused of Maduro’s tactical game fall?
“With pressure alone, you will be able to this crisis will not end, but rather exacerbate,” says Geoff Ramsey. After his Conviction a “democratic solution can be found, if Uruguay and Mexico are part of an EU-proposed contact group”.
Geoff Ramsey, a Venezuela expert with the US-American NGO WOLA.
As a positive example, Ramsey is reminiscent of the success of the Contadora group, an Initiative of the foreign Ministers of Colombia, Mexico, Venezuela, and Panama, the military conflict in El Salvador, Nicaragua and Guatemala in the 1980s to settle.
Mexico and Uruguay could potentially play even now in search of a solution for a crisis situation in the Region an important role. “More important than being a possible place for the mediation talks, the fact that Uruguay is committed to a peaceful Transition that guarantees the restoration of democracy in Venezuela,” said Sperling. In the country, so Sparrow should be supported, not necessarily international.
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Power struggle in Venezuela
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