After the historic summit, the impatience grows. The policy of small steps creates confidence but takes time. 2019 could follow the big words but great deeds.
And when it happened, finally, what is on the Korean Peninsula? There is soon a peace Treaty? And when the Union comes back? Oversized expectations are meet after the historic summit, and full-bodied declarations of intent. But a quick solution, or even a rapid unification, the Korean crisis is too complex. Everything should change, but no one wanted to move yet. This political Mikado will be completed in the coming year, hopefully. And looking more closely, has already moved on pleasing a lot – especially between the (still) separate brother States.
Train to train to reach an agreement
Seoul and Pyongyang seem determined, against all odds, the approach forward. Some of the request fails as yet to the decades resulting realities. The international sanctions against Pyongyang will apply. As long as a more intensive economic cooperation between the North and the South, for example, is not possible.
The perspective is deceiving – the Two met eye-to-eye
The international community of States and all the United States want to maintain the sanctions until North Korea meets the required concrete and irreversible steps towards Disarmament. North Korea, in turn, prompts an easing of sanctions for its previous. And as long as Pyongyang does not get any credible security guarantees, don’t want to give up his nuclear trump card from the Hand. Resolved this stalemate Situation could be most likely at a new summit meeting between Trump and Kim, which will probably take place in the spring.
The journey is the destination
Optimistic, the comparatively small accomplishments that have been achieved in the last few months, and which were inconceivable a few months ago to vote against it. After years of escalation of the confrontation was broken in a spiral and the lack of a voice and stopped. Almost regularly, high-ranking delegations or the heads of government meet. Potential sources of danger in the inner-Korean border have been mined, both sides withdrew some military posts along the death strip, and collected the mines and reactivated the “hot wire” to prevent any unintentional provocation at an early stage.
Concrete Co-Operation Plans
Very happy to Seoul and Pyongyang would also collaborate economically more closely. For example, you want to take the special joint economic zone of Kaesong back in operation, or comparatively small gaps in the common rail network close around five years to take. For the assessment of the route network of the UN relaxed the security Council, exceptionally, his strict sanctions in principle, but they remain in force.
Symbolic opening of the border for the United rail network
A cross-border train traffic would be for Korea not only has great symbolic meaning: After the removal of sanctions so goods could be transported only in the North. The export nation, South Korea could also be transported on the Gyeonggui-line along the West coast of their products to China and the Donghae line along the entire East coast to Russia. So far the talk is only of goods. Until at some point also people to share freely between the two land back and forth, will certainly take a lot of time.
Many are running out of time
This time, however, the 93,000-separated family members, about 12,000 of them are older than 90 years. As soon as possible, there needs to be in the coming year, a further family meeting in order for parents, children or siblings can at least meet for a few hours of their relatives across the border – otherwise it is forever too late.
Last Chance for a reunion for thousands of
North Korea must actually and verifiable start with his “denuclearization”. The necessary pressure of the USA. For the necessary protection of North Korea in the emerging world, China makes be responsible.
The Close Integration Of China’s
North Korea’s leader Kim Jong-Un was very good advice that he has improved the disordered relation to the protection of power fundamentally. He regularly sends high-level delegations traveled themselves is equal to three times after Beijing. All decisions and votes Kim closely with China.
Back from the big brother China
In turn, the head of state, Xi will probably visit in the coming year, North Korea. This would be for Kim, only a diplomatic masterpiece, it is also a clear finger would be pointing in the direction of the USA, who is in Asia meanwhile, the leadership.
Korean Right To Self-Determination
The old superpower and the new order power, China will take in the coming year, a decisive influence on what is possible in Korea. The final decision should and will be meeting with the Koreans. After decades of foreign provision, you must decide whether, and how quickly you find each other again.
As a Foundation trust, the South Korean President and North Korea have established a niche leader in the meantime. With courage and skill, Moon and Kim movement have brought in a completely frozen conflict and take decisive steps in the approximation process.
Surprisingly warm relationship of trust
“It is in the small things, not patiently, for the big projects to Fail,” taught Confucius. Moon’s policy of small steps – based on Willy Brandt’s “change through rapprochement” – bearing fruit, in the face of adversity. This will pay off in the coming year.
Active support from Europe
Europe and Germany should not take only a spectator role, but the developments of active support. The wishes of the Koreans. In the coming year, Germany celebrates the 30. Anniversary of the fall of the Berlin wall, it now knows very well how tedious but also valuable is the coming together of a divided country grow. Even if the output location is limited only comparable to that of Germany has gained valuable experience of how a peaceful approach can succeed. And what errors can avoid the Koreans.