“Islamic State”

The Islamic state: The Caliphate will continue to shrink

The IS-terrorist militia has lost-2016 parts of the controlled territory. In addition, the Caliphate is increasingly in need of money, as a study shows. An end to the terror that does not mean – on the contrary.

In the past few months, the IS experienced a whole series of military defeats – as in the Iraqi city of Falluja

In the first half of the year 2016, the terrorist militia “Islamic state” (IS) lost twelve percent of its territory in Iraq and Syria. The Analysis of the British Think-tank IHS. Accordingly, the jihadists in the second year of lost in a row, large parts of the 2014 of you self-proclaimed Caliphate.

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The loss of an area the size of Ireland

“2015 will be the Caliphate of the Islamic state shrank’ to 12,800 square kilometres 78,000 square kilometres, a net loss of 14 percent”, – stated in the IHS analysis. In the first six months of the year 2016 this territory shrank again to 12 percent. “At the 4. July 2016, the ‘Islamic state’ about 68.300 square kilometres controlled in Iraq and Syria.” In the last 18 months, I lost an area the size of Ireland.

In the past few months, the international Kaolition added against the IS under the leadership of the USA, the jihadists together with the Iraqi army, a whole series of defeats. In March of the IS from the ancient ruined city of Palmyra was sold in Syria, in June, the Iraqi army reconquered the city of Fallujah. In may, the Pentagon said, the IS have already lost 45 percent of its territory in Iraq and between 16 and 20 percent of the controlled areas in Syria.

Financial Problems

Financially, IS increasingly under pressure. His monthly income fell, according to estimates from IHS 80 million US dollars in mid-2015 to approximately 56 million U.S. dollars in March 2016. “This number has decreased since March, likely to be a further 35 per cent or more,” says IHS Analyst Ludovico Carlino. “Combined with the military setbacks on site, this has an impact on the internal cohesion of the group, such as the growing number of Defectors and deserters since January,” he adds.

Obviously, due to the financial problems of the IS according to human law has a new currency of learning introduced in a part of his Dominion. The “Gold Dinar” will be traded in the ostsyrischen province of Dair as-Saur, the UK-based Syrian Observatory for human rights. The IS promises to be, with the sale of the new currency a quick Profit. According to the Observatory, a coin weighs 4.5 grams and is equivalent to 190 USD. The currency would be for the Oil trade – one of the main sources of income of the IS used. Therefore, many traders had been seen in the purchase of the coins.

No all-clear – on the contrary

Despite the problems, a complete destruction of the IS, according to IHS, for the time being, unlikely. “While the Caliphate is shrinking and it is becoming increasingly clear that the state fails to project, reorganisaiert the group of their uprising,” says IHS Analyst Columb Strack. “We expect, unfortunately, an increase in terrorist attacks and Sabotage of economic infrastructure, both in Iraq and in Syria but also in distant foreign countries, Europe included,” says Strack.

cr/jj (afp, rtr)