Published 19 January 2022 at 20.34
Domestic. In its presentations, the Swedish Public Health Agency creates the impression that unvaccinated people are infected with covid-19 to a greater extent than vaccinated people. But Fria Tider's review of the authority's internal data shows that the situation is in fact the opposite – the proportion of infected people is higher in the vaccinated part of the population.
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In FHM's graph from the report (click for larger image), the higher spread of infection among vaccinated people is hidden by using a “rolling average”.
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In this second graph, which does not mask the development of the spread of infection by a rolling mean, it is clear that the spread of infection among vaccinated people is now higher than among vaccines .
At the Public Health Agency's press conference on 13 January, a diagram was shown with the heading “Confirmed cases of covid-19 per 100,000 inhabitants”. It can also be found in the authority's report for week 1.
The diagram contains two curves, one for the vaccinated and one for the unvaccinated. The curves give the impression that during week 1 this year, more cases of covid-19 were reported among the unvaccinated than among the vaccinated.
When the diagram was shown at the press conference, Anders Tegnell commented as follows:
“This curve shows that among those we find now, we find quite a few also among those vaccinated.”
The authority's message was clear – right now the spread of infection is greater among the unvaccinated, although quite a few vaccinated people are also infected.
But in reality it is just the opposite, Free Times can reveal.
Free Times has taken a look at the data used to generate the diagram that Tegnell showed. These figures show that more cases of covid-19 per 100,000 inhabitants were reported among vaccinated than among unvaccinated. During week 1, 1,301 cases per 100,000 inhabitants were found among the vaccinated and 1,247 cases per 100,000 inhabitants among the unvaccinated.
The spread of infection was thus greatest among the vaccinated during week 1.
it did not show how many cases were reported week by week, but instead indicated a “rolling average” for the last three weeks. The point on the curve in the chart that appeared to apply to week 1 this year was in fact an average based on data for weeks 51 and 52 last year and week 1 this year.
That it was a rolling average that was shown in the diagram was clear from the text next to the figure, but no one from the Public Health Agency explained what a “rolling average” was and there is no indication that the assembled journalists understood the consequence of using such an average.
< The authority never told what the spread of the infection actually looked like during week 1.
Fria Tider has asked the Swedish Public Health Agency a number of questions about the data the authority presented at the press conference and in its latest weekly report. Among other things, we want to know why the Swedish Public Health Agency has not told us that the spread of infection is greater among vaccinated people and whether the agency will present the figures per week openly during its press conference tomorrow, January 20.
Perhaps the most important question is why the Swedish Public Health Agency advocates that the freedom of unvaccinated persons be restricted through the use of vaccine passports when the spread of covid-19 is greater among the vaccinated than among the unvaccinated.
No answer has yet been given.