Delivery difficulties: IDC cuts forecast for sales of PCs

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The growth of the PC market will be very high in 2021, although market researchers are now correcting it downwards: delivery problems for small electronic components and the challenges in the logistics area should no longer allow 18 percent growth .

The demand for PCs is and will remain high. However, the challenges posed by the persistently high demand are holding back growth. Almost every manufacturer in the industry reports minor or major problems with electronic components or substrates that are required for production. In addition, there is the logistics, which has not only become significantly more expensive in many areas, but is also almost fully utilized. Here all manufacturers maneuver to the best of their knowledge and belief, but cannot get all problems under control at short notice.

Almost every quarterly report recently pointed out that the problems will not be resolved this year and that relaxation will not be in sight until 2022. Theoretically, many manufacturers could generate even more sales because there is demand, but not the material.

Growth in the PC area from year to year (Image: IDC)

With this knowledge in hand, the market researchers at IDC correct the expected growth in the PC market for this year from 18 to 14.2 percent downwards. Above all, notebooks are the driving force behind the business and should remain so in the years to come, while, as has been the case in recent years, tablets will continue to lose importance. The classic desktop PC will also continue to decline.

How high the growth will be in this and the next two years will only be seen in comparison to the last two Analyzes before the corona crisis clearly. Previously, for many years it was always claimed that the pc was dead, although he always survived, but treaded on the spot when it came to sales. In 2019, the market researchers saw a sales potential of 367 million units in 2023. Today, more than half a billion personal computers are corrected, an increase of at least 37 percent compared to the pre-Corona forecast.