The EU has extended the deadline for the Brexit without a fuss for a further three months. Everything points in London on new elections, the extension seems to be justified. The path is stony for Boris Johnson.
Who takes the mouth full, don’t need to worry for the ridicule. Prime Minister Boris Johnson had tinted in September, rather, he would want to be lying dead in a ditch, as the Brexit once again postpone. But the magical 31. October, on the the country for weeks with the campaign, “Prepared for the Brexit before” was true, passes now without result. Johnson can’t keep the appointment, and of his opponents to him mockingly real, existing ditches were could lay in it now, or folding shovel yourself to dig offered.
EU extended – again
“Flex tension” is the word monster, with the EU described on Monday, the second Brexit-extension. It should give the British a flexible exit, from which you can make to the month of first use, as soon as you have confirmed the exit agreement with the EU in Parliament and ratified. Whether this scheme Boris Johnson is more likely to give you the courage to try again, or give him his walled location, only the more clearly before our eyes, is open. End date is December 31. January of next year.
After intense diplomatic contacts with the French government at the weekend, Paris had made its objections to a re-Brexit-extension back. Anyway, Emmanuel Macrons Hesitation had been more than a political muscle game seen less as a real threat, the tilt British without a Deal from the EU.
In London meanwhile, the Wind in the direction of early elections has turned, is likely to have accelerated the decision-making in Paris. Because it was always clear that the EU would accept elections or a second Referendum, as good reasons for a further extension. Even if the patience is exhausted with the Brexit-the circus in Brussels and in EU capitals, and that is The Europeans are currently in the comfortable Position that you can keep track of the Drama as an observer, to be without the result of fault.
Labour blocked new elections – again
In the lower house, Boris Johnson was then even more of a defeat. The Labour members abstained, and the government could not mobilize the required two-thirds majority to call an election before Christmas. Although Boris Johnson is the largest opposition party, the cowardice and fear of the judgment of the voters accused and said: “The time for this Parliament has expired” – labour leader Jeremy Corbyn remained unmoved.
Unmoved and without prod: Jeremy Corbyn
“It is time for the leader of the Opposition, to take his rusty Trabant from the intersection, he blocked the progress,” scoffed Johnson, finally, in allusion to its former relations to Eastern Europe. The Premier forgot or had never known that the Trabbi from “plastic” and therefore more rust was free.
It is clear, even though Labour is relying on a lack of confidence in Johnson: the party is in the polls and 10 percentage points in the polls for weeks behind the Tories. Jeremy Corbyn is not in the personal rating far behind Boris Johnson, although many voters trust the Prime Minister and him give bad marks. In fact, Labour is with Corbyn in a pretty desperate situation and tried everything therefore, elections as to postpone as far as possible. “Turkeys vote for Christmas”, mocks the opposition in the house of Commons, many Labour MPs are actually in fear of their mandate.
New advance on Tuesday
After his re-defeat Boris Johnson announced the submission of a law for Tuesday, with the help of new elections with a simple majority decided. A move by the two small opposition parties, the liberals and the Scottish SNP, the weekend gave him hope. Both would be prepared to support the government, because they want new elections. Together with the votes of the Conservatives, it could be enough for a majority.
Since long: The Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon tried already in the summer, the direction
The Motivation of these two parties, however, is set by the Prime Minister, contrary to diametrically opposed: they want to have the Brexit-execution of the law from the table, so that Boris Johnson would have to go into the election campaign without a Hero of a successful Brexit present. Because the liberals are pro-European and want to stop the Brexit yet. And the SNP, the Scottish National party, the to: Scotland had voted in 2016 against Brexit, wants to stay in the EU and is preparing internally for a new Referendum on the independence of Scotland. Around half of the Scots according to the polls, in the meantime, to leave the United Kingdom.
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Great Britain: Trembling before the Brexit
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Great Britain: Trembling before the Brexit
But Boris Johnson would get the help of the Opposition will not be in vain: The SNP, for example, also wants 16 – and 17-year-olds, as well as the EU allow citizens to vote. This would affect the output significantly in the direction of the Pro-EU parties. As Boris Johnson frees himself from this dilemma, seemed to be on Monday night is still uncertain. Somehow, he will have enough to make concessions, to be able to new elections before Christmas exclaim. Because the time is short: The Parliament would have to be next Monday resolved to the schedule for the second December to comply with the week.
Everywhere Risks
With his course on elections, almost at any price Boris Johnson is a high risk. Although the Conservatives in the polls ahead of the institutions, however, have been wrong in the last few years dramatically. The British electoral system makes predictions rather difficult. Choice agreements is approximately between Labour and the liberals in certain constituencies could make things more unclear.
The Prime in the shirt: Demonstration in London (19. October)
In addition, 50 percent of British voters are currently undecided and politically more determined. It is unpredictable, whether you Boris Johnson for his failure, the Brexit on the 31. To deliver October, punish, or whether you trust him more, with a new majority in the house of the necessary legislation is finally through.
And finally, Christmas could still play a role: it is Possible that the citizens are pretty pissed, to experience the peace of Christmas is a poisonous election campaign, a time of year where you forget about the policy prefer to be with friends and family and drinking together want to eat.