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Sudan – fight for the future

After the overthrow of President Bashir, the military ruled the Sudan. The army wanted a rapid process of Transition to democracy, it said. The chief of the military Council resigned.

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Sudan after the military coup

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Sudan after the military coup

He is the Well-being of the people and of the Nation, Awad Ibn reasoned On its withdrawal. His successor, appointed Ibnuf in a state television address, General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan Abdulrahman, whose “experience and Suitability”, he put.

The withdrawal of Ibnuf comes as a surprise. On Thursday, he had proclaimed “the fall of the regime” and the imprisonment of longtime Sudanese leaders Omar al-Bashir was sworn in as chief of the military Council.

Against President Omar al-Bashir, many Sudanese were gone for months on the road. With his fall, the protest movement has reached your main goal. Accordingly, it was and is Proud of what they have Achieved.

But hardly commander-in-chief Bashir continue, the question is: what’s next? Where is the trip after the Vice-President and defence Minister Awad bin On the back?

The protesters have a long way to go, up to your actual target, says political scientist Muhammad Asbat from the trade Union interest representation (SPA), one of the driving forces of the protests. “The crisis was not solely on Omar al-Bashir as a Person, but is based rather on the whole System: its laws, institutions, and the depressing political, economic and diplomatic balance sheet, the managed the country and in a five-year civil war has plunged.”

Therefore, Asbat in an interview with Deutsche Welle, the real Problem is much deeper: “The solution can only consist in that all the institutions will be fundamentally reformed.”

The doubts of the protesters

Also the DW reached the statements of many Sudanese people, the show decided to do the exchange in the direction of democracy.

The doubts are well-founded, says Murithi Mutiga, project Manager of the International Crisis Group the Horn of Africa. Munir al-Bashir have split the army, as, indeed, the entire security apparatus aware of the different fractions, and these played off against each other. That is why, currently, not clear which faction will prevail. “It is an open question whether the military will opt for negotiations with the civilian leaders of the protest movement, or in favour of the motion to suppress,” said Mutiga in an interview with DW.

The armed forces had “no ambitions to hang on to Power,” said Omar Sain al-Abdin, the head of the political Committee of the military government. The military will be limited during the transition phase to ensure security and stability. “I swear to you, we will support the people’s demands,” Al-Abdin.

Triumph: A protester with the Sudanese national flag in Khartoum

The solutions to the problems in Sudan would have to come from the people themselves, so Al-Abdin. “We won’t interfere.” The military does not ideology. The army would stay a maximum of two years in Power, in order to pave the way for free elections. Should improve the situation quickly, and the Sudanese people should find more solutions, “we will step aside,” Al-Abdin.

Newspaper: “protests could go on”

That the power will be transfer to the population via elections smoothly, does not currently hold all of the observers for the deal. The pan-Arab in London newspaper “Al-Quds al-Araby” notes with concern that the army leadership had just decided the formation of a military transition Council. This is typical for politicians, who did not want to let go of the Power. The Same also applies to the decision of the military to overthrow the Central political institutions of the country, for the time being. “The Sudanese people have won an important victory. But if al-Baschirs fall does not lead within a foreseeable period of Transition to another important goal – namely, democratic elections, the protests continue.”

The Problem of yesterday were also a lot of leadership is that some of its members had no political or organizational experience, says Muhammad Asbat from the trade Union interest representation. “In addition, Charisma and rhetoric. You have no insight into the mechanisms of the state and no idea of how you want to solve the crisis.”

Sudan’s new strong man, General Awad Ibn Auf (r.)

The interests of the army

On a different aspect Murithi points Mutiga of the International Crisis Group. The currently on the state’s top group does not constitute a convincing Alternative to the current leadership. “The General is one of the closest supporters of Al-Baschirs. During the coup in 1989, he was standing at his side. He served as chief of military intelligence and was assigned for his alleged role in the atrocities in Darfur by the United States with sanctions. The Regime is conscious of this fact, that the cost of the loss of Power are high, as they could potentially be held accountable. In other words, they have little incentive to give Power completely out of your hands.”

Watch the Video 00:34

Sain al-Abdin Al-Bashir will not be delivered

Probably, suspected Mutiga, would you try to use the protesters to a certain extent. “We will probably see some Gestures of reconciliation. It is unlikely, however, that the military give up Power completely. The confrontation between the military and the protest movement, therefore, could be more.”

The Muhammad Asbat looks so. “The demands of the protesters have so far been met, at most, one percent. The Reform must go on. Otherwise, we stay on the road.”

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