Five days after the parliamentary elections, everything is in the Thailand open. Just a regular Transfer of Power from the previous military government to an elected Opposition is more than unlikely.
The Opposition seems to be the best way to come up with a Seven-party Alliance to 255 deputies in the lower house (out of a total of 500). So you could not actually the government, however, the Prime Minister, because of the choice of the 250 poor loyal senators to participate.
Should the current head of government Prayuth Prayuth as a minority Prime Minister to choose, this would lead, according to observers, to a political Blockade. Then the military could take over as “administrator” the rudder back and up to the next elections to govern.
Also, for other reasons, a power takeover by the Opposition is unlikely. According to the experts, the generals keep to many threads in your hands, control the election Commission and court to influence decisions.
The army and the Opposition spread victory a certainty
Not surprising, then, that the blue-white trucks of the arms of the middle Phalang Pracharat-drove party by Bangkok’s streets, manned by selected members of the Junta-party wave to the laughing of the people. Three huge speakers you would like to thank their voters for the 8.4 million votes and the election victory.
Supporters of incumbent heads of government Prayuth celebrate election success
Only a few miles away in a skyscraper, “IFCT Tower,” announces the opposition party, Pheu Thai, for their part, successful in coming to power. It is according to current Figures, with 7.9 million votes, just behind the party, the army, according to estimates, there are more seats in the Parliament. (The divergence is a result of the complexity of the election system: 350 seats as direct mandates, 150 according to a proportional key.) The exact distribution of seats will be after a long back-and-forth until 9. Disclosed in may, shortly after the end of the coronation ceremonies for the new king Vajiralongkorn.
Dubious role of the election Commission
Already with their previous pronouncements, the election Commission has caused some confusion. To the slips after days of Procrastination, hundreds of complaints of irregularities and still-unresolved questions more than two million invalid election on Thursday, official election results were announced, the questions raise.
Chief Phalang Pracharat party Uttama Savanayana (M): “We are confident that our party can form a coalition government.”
So, the turnout increased by eight percentage points to approximately 74.7 per cent. On election Sunday, the talk was still of around 66 per cent voter turnout, also there was now to 33,000 eligible to vote. Paul Chambers, a Professor of political science at Naresuan University in Northern Thailand, and considers that it is quite possible that the unclear situation leads to a prolongation of the military government: “about a hundred inconsistencies, about which the electoral Commission advises, there are. If this to 9. May are not solved, could be cancelled the elections and the Junta would remain in Power.” With the upcoming coronation of the king in may time would be close to elections is unrealistic, and the army could at least rule by the end of the year.
From majority to minority could be
The military can use with the involvement of the electoral Commission, another means to let a majority of the Opposition to a minority to shrink: With the so-called penalty cards. In the case of irregularities in the Electoral process elected members of Parliament can be forced with yellow cards to a re-election, and with red cards is disqualified.
The fate of the “Future-Forward”party, and your Chefs Thanatorn could decide the majority situation
Furthermore, current criminal proceedings because of “Internet crime” as a sword of Damocles over the opposition as the “Future Forward”-party chef Thanathorn hang. He and two other party officials to incorrectly reports about the Junta’s widespread. A resolution of the party cannot be ruled out, according to observers. The Pro-democracy Alliance would shrink to 88 seats and a majority would be out of reach.