For weeks, the Sudanese demonstrate against President Omar al-Bashir. The makes a few concessions, and remains calm. His Regime, his calculus, is too important to be overthrown.
The protests were bloody. In mid-December, the citizens had begun to demonstrate in several cities. Their displeasure was directed against the government’s Plan to increase prices for gasoline and bread, in order to address the weak exchange rate and high inflation rates. Alone for wheat products, the people would have to pay now three times the price.
The Protest of the Sudanese people was limited soon, not on the inflation rate, but expanded into the Political, against President Omar al-Bashir, who has ruled the country since three decades of autocratic. Some protesters set fire to buildings of the Bashir-led National Congress party, some groups called for a change of government. As the citizens of the 19. December went back to the streets, attacked the security forces of the weapons. According to the government, 19 people, Amnesty International died speaks of at least 37 dead. Leader of the Opposition and organizers of the strike were arrested. The actions of the security forces sparked horror and outrage across the country.
Arrest warrant for war crimes: President Omar al-Bashir
“The Regime of Bashir will not solve the current crisis, because it is regionally isolated internationally, both politically and economically,” reasoned opponents of the President at a press conference in the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, to their withdrawal demands. This could only be a new government that enjoy the confidence of the Sudanese people. As the President responded to the protests – until Bashir said on Tuesday that the Sudanese Minister of justice-driven education Commission.
No international support for the Opposition
So far, the demonstrations in the Western countries, and only little attention, if at all. The low response was disappointing, says Mohamed Hassan, a politician of the opposition Sudanese Congress party. “We had expected more support, recognize, however, that the international policy is very much guided by their own interests,” said Hassan in an interview with DW.
The government of Sudan have braided a regional network in which you try your interests. This is done mainly by declaring themselves ready to fight illegal Migration. “The government is trying to prevent migrants and asylum-seekers on the run from Africa. In addition, she is involved in the anti-terror fight.”
In fact, the Sudan under Omar al-Bashir has been a politically bleak balance sheet: The President himself is wanted for genocide and war crimes by the International criminal court of an arrest warrant. The conflicts with rebel groups in Darfur and the Nuba mountains continue to smolder still, human rights organizations criticize the government due to the lack of citizens ‘ rights and freedoms.
Bashir: guarantor of regional interests
That is able to hold President Bashir, go back mainly to the fact that his reign will come to meet the interests of many international partners in many ways, says Lebanese political scientist amine Qamuriya in the DW program “Massaiya”.
Collective resentment: protests in Khartoum, December 2018
So many soldiers of the Saudi Arabia-led military coalition were in Yemen from Sudan. “Would worsen the political situation there, could be attributed to the government, these soldiers return.” Because Saudi Arabia have no interest.
Also Egypt is interested in a stable situation in the southern neighbouring country of the Sudan. Many of the embattled Libya weapons available would be about the Sudan in the North African country. This attempts to prevent Egypt, in collaboration with Basheer. “In addition, the Egyptian government prefers General to talk with the political parties of the Sudan, but with the President.”
USA and EU support Bashir
Also Washington have reasons to show Bashir to be patient, says Mohamed Hassan of the Sudanese Congress party. “Especially since the withdrawal from Syria decided to Trump, try the Americans, to find mercenaries that you can use in Syria. And no Regime sells these mercenaries are cheaper than the Sudanese.”
Also, the EU member States work together well with Bashir. With its help, the Migration from Eastern Africa to Europe. In addition, the Sudanese President is seen as an important Partner in the fight against international terrorism.
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Sudan: protests against price increases
“The common objective of border control is to make it difficult for the Darfur rebels, who work in Libya as mercenaries, the retreat, possible jihadists routes between the Sahel and the Horn of Africa to cut off and to control, ultimately, the migration flows between the Horn of Africa and the Mediterranean,” writes Sudan expert Annette Weber of the Berlin Foundation science and policy. For its cooperation with the Sudan in return for financial support from the EU.
The protests in Sudan to find, therefore, hardly an international Echo. And President Omar al-Bashir seems to know that he doesn’t have to be afraid of. The international interests, which he supported, he seems to understand as a sufficient policy of insurance.