Theresa May has survived their intra-party average vote of confidence, but it is weakened. And their problems remain: There is no majority in Parliament for the Brexit Treaty.
Veteran Conservative compare to the right wing of their party with a crocodile pond: A party leader can survive only if he feeds the wild animals constantly with sweet rolls. After the no-confidence vote on Wednesday evening, Theresa May, has trust, however, nothing in the pockets to make the crowd quiet. The hard Brexiteers have smelled blood and are not going to be satisfied with the fact that the Prime Minister has a term of limited. On the contrary, The goal of the fall all the more safer, you will now move into the position of war.
Mays problems remain
“Why is the singer changing, if the song remains the same?” to bring formulated Tory veteran Michael Heseltine, who had helped in 1990, Margaret Thatcher. The question hits Theresa may’s Dilemma, and at the same time, your party has survived the revolt against their Person, but it has become even clearer that the return is made, to bring the Brexit Treaty by the Parliament.
A third of the members of her own party have shown May be the red card. Especially the leader of the rebels propagate in the meantime, a tough Brexit. Immune to the warnings from the economy they claim, it is not going to come so bad, and the “Global Britain” had to liberate themselves at last from the clutches of the EU. Here it comes to beliefs, not the reality in UK companies.
May has promised in the evening of the uprising of your people once more, you’ll have to bring from Brussels enough concessions to the Irish Backstop back, in order to convince the own warehouse and the Northern Irish DUP. The hardliners want a legally binding end of for the reinsurance clause against a hard limit in Ireland. The EU is ready to help May be limited, but what is insurance with a built-in end date would still be worth it? Such a legally binding formula can’t give it to Brussels. And the Prime Minister has once again proved that they can bend freely the truth in order to secure your office.
The majority for Brexit Treaty
Postponed is not cancelled, because at least up to 21. January must submit to Theresa May the Brexit Treaty to the vote in Parliament. Then the hour of the rebels in the Conservative strikes again. And the opposition Labour Party remains in the strategy, only may’s referendum defeat and then your fall in a vote of censure in the lower house, the Prime Minister further cemented in.
In your Cabinet, some are pushing for a vote before Christmas. You want to put the defeat behind and then to be free for a change of course. It seems to be more of may’s instinct to play for time. The members over the new year break have time, the Horror of a hard Brexit present, you could fold in January.
106 days before the Leaving date all of the pages in the strategic Games, without the ticking clock to impress. In London of the dominion fight to the government, and the responsibility for various forms of Brexit unabated. The issue has divided the country and the two major parties, a cure is in sight.
Although it is now urged Theresa May by some supporters to seek bipartisan consensus. But who has heard your speech in front of 10 Downing Street after her poisoned victory over the Tory rebels, is quickly cured. She talks to unite the country, but does nothing to overcome the trenches, really. Instead, they continually praise “their Brexit” as the only possible, according to the method TINA: “There is no alternative”, there is no Alternative.
Beaten after a hard fight with his own party: Theresa May
Navel-gazing, regardless of the economy
The British pound went in the last week, constantly roller-coaster, depending on which messages from London to the Brexit. After the vote for the Conservatives, but the currency was again in a tailspin, The currency traders found Mays victory unconvincing. The Association-in-chief of British business leaders Stephen Martin formulated cutting: “We back a No-deal closer as a result of constant Delays while Brexit and internal political struggles.” And the chamber of Commerce hopes that the “political games” would now finally stop, because you need certainty about the future.
Although it looks at the labour market in the UK continues to be good, has fallen, the growth in the last quarter to 0.1 percent, which is virtually at a standstill. In the City is warned of the flight of financial institutions, the credit rating Agency Standard & Poor’s rating of the Outlook for the Kingdom remains negative.
All the speakers of companies and associations agree that the country is prepared for a hard Brexit insufficient. Bearings are sold out areas, both companies and the government can cope with new customs controls and a form of war with the EU.
What now, Mrs May?
Presumably Theresa May will simply carry on undeterred, and the impending vote on Christmas. Compared to softer forms of Brexit she had, in fact, early in the hands. Now she has nothing with which you could convince parts of the Labour Party. That’s why it appeals also to the sense of responsibility of the other side. Your own party you are only limited restraint.
May well the fact that you can cook a frog by heating the water in the pot slowly so that it POPs out. The Labour Party is at play. The Prime Minister emerged severely injured from the battle with his own party. And for the rest of the war to the Brexit your strategy and troops lack strength. Theresa May goes as a lame duck in the Christmas break.