Researchers are sounding the Alarm. Emissions continue to rise, the earth heats up. And yet Still limiting to 1.5 or two degrees is possible, says the UN Report. Only you must not hesitate now.
The report of the world climate Council to a 1.5-degree target to be the “global fire alarm,” said Joyce Msuya, Deputy Director of the environment programme of the United Nations. “The governments must faster and with greater urgency approach urgency. Currently, we fuel the fire more during our extinguishing agent in the range”, describes Msuya the global Situation.
Msuya, presented in Paris, the Emissions Gap Report in 2018. Therefore, it is still possible to keep global warming to below two degrees by the end of the century. However, the technical possibilities, to keep global warming even at 1.5 degrees, without decisive Action to wane.
According to the Report, the next years up to 2030 is crucial. In order to curb the warming, would have to decrease the emissions significantly on a global scale faster than of the countries so far.
It is a very different Planet threatens as we know it now
It remains in the committed emissions reductions of the countries in the framework of the climate agreement of Paris, would therefore rise the global temperature by the end of the century compared to pre – industrial time to around 3.2 degrees. And even then, the temp aura continued rose.
That would be “a very different Planet than we know him now”, warns climate scientist Stefan Rahmstorf intergovernmental panel on climate change by the Potsdam Institute for climate impact research (PIK) and a member of the world follow. If the humanity do so, and would rise in the following centuries, the temperatures even further. “I don’t think humanity would survive,” says Rahmstorf in the DW-Interview.
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Climate protection needs ambitious policy
So far, the emissions are on the rise: According to the UN Report have been set around the world by 2017, a total of 53,5 gigatons (billion tons) of greenhouse gas emissions. The 0.7 gigatonnes (Gt) more than in 2016.
This number is the sum of all greenhouse gases. In addition to CO2, methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and the loss of forests and soils as a carbon store is a greenhouse effect. Scientists anticipate all the effects, the information is given in “CO2 Equivalent” (CO2e).
The UN Report shows how big the Plot hole without trend is turning: the States only to their voluntary Commitments in the framework of the Paris agreement on Climate, the greenhouse gases will rise by 2030 to 59 Gt CO2e. To limit the temperature increase to two degrees, we need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions worldwide now, very quickly – from approximately 53.5 Gt CO2e (2017) to about 40 Gt CO2e in 2030.
For the 1.5-degree target, the required emission reduction would be even more drastic: In comparison to today, the global greenhouse gas emissions need to be up to the year 2030 by more than half to only about 24 Gt of CO2e.
Climate, efforts need to be multiplied
The analysis of the authors makes it clear that the climate protection plans of the governments will not be sufficient to reach the in Paris agreed to limit global warming.
The increased emissions, and delayed measures, the gap has grown to the necessary reduction reduction even more. “Now, more than ever, all States would have to increase their efforts to protect the Climate,” says co-author Niklas Höhne of the New Climate Institute of the German wave.
The States would need to increase their ambitions three times in order to limit global warming to two degrees and five times the limit of 1.5 degrees, is a conclusion of the report.
For CO2 from fossil fuel combustion, there is no more space in the atmosphere
Commitment and action at all levels
“The kind of drastic and extensive measures, which we urgently need is not yet known,” say climate experts in the Report. At the same time, the authors outline the necessary measures for the implementation of, and see a lot of potential at the level of cities, municipalities, companies, universities, civil society and the financial sector. For the Transformation and for bold climate protection measures, these institutions are “recognized increasingly as a key element for achieving the global emission targets”.
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An even greater Potential for emission reduction, the authors see in a carefully designed fiscal policy. “To close the emission gap, is a sustainable financial reform is a crucial building block,” said co-author Brigitte Knopf from the Mercator Research Institute for Global Commons and Climate Change.
“In addition to the removal of fossil-fuel subsidy such a Reform must include an effective CO2 price. The revenues from CO2 pricing can be used to reduce other taxes, for investments in sustainable infrastructure spend or to compensate low-income households,” explains button. “Currently, half of the energy emissions are, however, unbepreist. This policy gap must be closed if the Paris climate targets are still achievable.”
More: With a CO2 price will reach the climate goals of Paris,
The climate gap still to be closed
“There is a fatal gap between words and deeds there is more, between the States of the agreed objectives of the stabilization of our climate and the measures to achieve these goals,” says co-author Gunnar Luderer of PIK at the conclusion of the report. “Now more than ever, all States would have to increase their efforts to protect the Climate,” adds co-author Höhne. At the same time, he sees “in all sectors, good examples of policy measures that reduce successfully in greenhouse gas emissions. If all would follow these examples, would have closed the gap to half.”
A lot of thrust and Potential for climate protection, give it, according to the report, also through the development of renewable energies. “Since the Paris climate agreement was adopted, the costs of renewable energy have fallen by roughly a third,” said Höhne. “This is now more feasible than you thought possible.”