The old people’s parties, the voters run away, and indeed anywhere in Europe. It will benefit most, especially right-wing. How do the people of parties with their decline and what are the strategy promises success?
“You see, it may be Europeans and non-Populist and elections in Europe.” Such a joy to Minister Xavier Bettel during the recent EU came out of the Luxembourg summit meeting to the waiting journalists. Bettel of the Democratic party, was commissioned after the parliamentary election, again with the formation of the government. He celebrated his election victory in a Brussels Locally and spontaneously, the German Angela Merkel, the French Emmanuel Macron, and the Belgian Charles invited Michel. “It was super. We had Fries and beer,” said the beggar the next Morning.
Middle-leaders: (from left) Michel, begging, Macron, Merkel in Brussels Local
Moderate heads of government of moderate parties were there and relaxed. But their kind of device in Europe more and more into the Defensive: The Italian Christian Democrats, for decades the Prime Minister, there are virtually no more. The French socialists, the Dutch social Democrats, long the leaders in their countries, were wiped out in the recent elections, almost. Even the long imperturbable German Chancellor had already warned in the Hessian election campaign, the CDU could lose”, which is the people’s party”.
Picky Voters
When asked about the reasons, the political scientist Florian Hartleb, the parties as a “mirror of societal developments”. Other institutions will lose Prestige, he says. Not least, the social Democrats had neglected their core clientele, and especially in Germany is insecure, “due to the massive influx of refugees”.
His colleague Wolfgang Merkel declared: “Our companies have individually. We want as a citizen, not a total package, which includes very diffuse all points of a political programme, and at the same time trying to use all sorts of walks of life together.” The citizens wanted something more Precise than if it were offered by new parties. In addition, almost all people would have parties of Europe in the middle of moving and so the “political spaces”.
As in the supermarket, the citizens require in the policy, a wide range
In Germany, the Green benefit in addition to the right of the AfD. In Europe, however, the winners are almost always the right-wing populists. In Italy, the right-wing government party Lega interior Minister, Matteo Salvini, with each verbal broadside against refugees, and against all of Europe, only stronger.
The Method Of Short…
The old people’s parties to go different with the challenge. The young Austrian Chancellor, Sebastian Kurz, for example, has renamed the old Austrian people’s party and self-tailored: “list Sebastian Kurz – The new people’s party (ÖVP)” – this is the name you entered for the national Council election in 2017 and could achieve significant gains. With the change at the top is a sharp shift to the right went hand in hand. Short not averse to making even before that, with the right-wing populist Freedom party in a coalition government. He may be after a year satisfied. “The government in Austria has a really good Reputation,” says the Austrian opinion researcher Wolfgang Bachmayer. The harsh migration policies of the coalition will have the backing of a large majority of the population. “The Situation could be for the government more difficult, if it is no longer possible to overlay all of the issues with immigration”, believes political scientist Peter Filzmaier.
Fresh Image for a old party: Austria’s Chancellor Sebastian Kurz
Florian Hartleb looks at much of the political situation in Vienna, “specifically Austrian”, he fears but with a view to the migration debate: “similar”, namely, a significant shift to the right, threatening in Germany. A collaboration of the old people’s parties at the Federal level with the AfD Hartleb holds but for the excluded and the model of the Grand coalition had “no great future”.
…and the method Macron
A different strategy than the Austrians Briefly elected President of France, Emmanuel Macron. To caper instead of an existing party he founded, seemingly out of nowhere, a “movement”, and many politicians won for a collaboration. It was new and fresh and was at least at the beginning also very successful – even if both Macron and his movement, which is called, in the meantime, party, have lost much of its luster. Doubtful Wolfgang Merkel, the structure mainly because it is “highly authoritarian”. The misunderstood man in Germany, “if we search the spasm looking for a Savior in Europe, an innovative force”. Macron have selected “the candidates for the parliamentary election in person”. This is not expired “in accordance with democratic rules,” but in the Public good arrived.
New rights people’s party? Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban, Italian Interior Minister Matteo Salvini
In Europe there are still a real people’s party? Political scientists Merkel gives a surprising answer: “Viktor Orban’s Fidesz party a people’s party.” Not only because of their strength, you also have people from all walks of life to speak. “This is the perfidious message that right-wing populists can also upgrade to people’s parties. Orban’s party, the last or latest people’s party par excellence in Europe is likely.”
Maybe it isn’t so bad
The old people’s parties are your downfall sometimes, as a threat to democracy. Florian Hartleb thinks it’s exaggerated: “I would warn against hysteria and fear-mongering.” After all, right-wing populist parties in most European countries, not in Power. In addition, it is not a right-wing populist, but also within the established parties, the spectrum on splittere. And finally, Hartleb, there is in Europe also opposing developments such as the rise of the Green. Wolfgang Merkel differentiated: On the individual level of the voter, the greater offer had a positive effect. “From the point of view of our society that is ever more heterogeneous, we would not need but a bridge-Builder, and integration of machines among the parties, and the people’s parties.” Democracy, he believes, “is not possible without strong parties”.
Those were the times when the CDU and SPD came together to 80 percent and more: European elections in 1979
This leads back to the question of whether the political parties can do something about their descent. Florian Hartleb says Yes: “they need to modernise with attractive staff – because many people’s parties have also occupy a personality problem, and topics in a positive manner”, for example, in Germany the energy transition or the digitisation. Wolfgang Merkel is the time of the 30plus or 40plus past, however, the parties “irrevocably”. You could remove a little more from the center, in order to gain profile, “but you can’t, of course, bring back the individualization of society”.