Criticism of young, protests of Old, and Blockade of China: In its first year, Tsai Ing could not make it-who did it many right. The danger of the Opposition is not threatening Taiwan’s President anyway.
A small protest camp on the sidewalk, out of plastic tarps and tents for almost three months, the home of Panai Kusui. The song-maker is angry at Tsai Ing-wen. Taiwan’s President ruled for a year, at the presidential Palace, a few hundred meters down the road. “Tsai has lied to us,” says Panai, which belongs to the tribe of the Amis, and thus to Taiwan’s non-Chinese-born natives. “We had believed her, but they want us to steal it only to our country.”
In the case of Tsais took office a year ago, the Pana was still standing right next to her on the stage. The image of this site you wrote, great the Chinese character “lie”. That former allies as they turn away from Tsai, shows that Not only China is putting the President under pressure, your strength within Taiwan’s crumbling after a year in office.
Tsai Ing-wen gave the first apology for injustice to indigenous peoples
Elected with great expectations
The support of young and socially engaged voters has ensured that Tsai won and the democratic progressive party (DPP) for the first time, a majority in the Parliament won. The expectations after the eight years were group-friendly policy and approach of the people’s Republic under the Chinese Kuomintang party (KMT): the modernization of society, a better distribution of the fruits of growth, more emphasis on Taiwan’s independence.
In fact, Tsai, on behalf of the government asked at the beginning of August, Taiwan’s indigenous people’s forgiveness for wrongs suffered. But the promising start was followed by little. As in February, the native authority presented a Definition of the traditional tribal areas, which excluded all of the Land in private ownership, burst Panai and other aboriginal activists of the collar. Since then, they camp in front of the presidential Palace, give press conferences and concerts with up to 500 listeners. You fear that the police clear camp before the Celebration of the one-year Amtsjubiläum, says Pana. “Then we would have to start over.”
Meanwhile, disillusionment, however, is in the interest of the representatives of the indigenous people occurred
Progressive voters disappointed
A lot more Taiwanese people resent the Tsais social policy. Party researchers Eric Yu of National politics University, Taipei cites an example: With a complicated and half-hearted Reform of the working week, public holidays and other days of your Cabinet made after a long Back-and-Forth entrepreneurs dissatisfied and also workers. Tsai’ve disappointed many progressive voters. Your approval rate is since its inauguration in reverse gear and deck, with about 40 percent lower than that of their predecessors at the same time, Yu.
The knowledge, that the DPP as a supposed party of the “little people” is available for redistribution in the social democratic sense, but for business-friendly policies. “Many were wrong in the fact that Tsai would be a Hyper active reformer,” said Taiwan expert Jon Sullivan from the University of Nottingham in the DW. “She is a cautious and in many ways conservative politician.”
Tourists from the mainland are estimated due to the loose of the money bag, but their number has decreased due to the cooling between Taipei and Beijing strong
Dispute over civil servants ‘ pensions
At the other end of the spectrum, Tsai is in conflict with the profiteers of the old KMT party state. It’s comparatively luxurious civil servants ‘ pensions, which represent a growing burden on the state coffers. Retired public servants, teachers and military can go for months against the Tsais reform plans to the barricades. A majority of the population in these reduction plans. The question is whether it breaks or not.
That steadfastness pays off rather than a yaw rate, the outstanding foreign policy issue: Taiwan’s relationship with the people’s Republic of China. For Beijing, the DPP is a red cloth, but in the core for a formal independence of Taiwan. At the office, Tsai had extended an olive branch. You not only made the traditional oath of office under the portrait of Sun Yat-Sen, founder of the Republic of China and the KMT, as provided for in the Constitution. She also stressed in her inaugural speech, their willingness to engage in dialogue and Taiwan’s interest in stable and peaceful relations with Beijing.
Instead of tourists, Beijing recently began sending back greetings from his Marine
Beijing denied communication
The people’s Republic is, however, a commitment to the “One-China-principle” as the basis of every cooperation. Thus, a red line would be for Tsai, her party and their supporters exceeded. So Beijing broke off the channels of dialogue with Tsais government and returned to a policy of Isolation, as she had already determined to 2008, the relations.
The people’s Republic throws its weight into the balance in order to prepare Taiwan to all sorts of difficulties: One of Taipei’s remaining diplomatic allies switched sides, much less Chinese tourists are coming, the people’s army is upgrading, and sent its aircraft carrier through the Taiwan Strait. For some months, China is holding a Taiwanese democracy activists without charge. New espionage cases in Taiwan’s military on the fly. And China blocked Taiwan’s participation at all possible international conferences.
Instead of making Taiwan into submission, could incidents like the current exclusion of the General Assembly of the world health organization also have the opposite effect. “Tsais falling popularity ratings have nothing to do with their China policy,” says Taiwan researchers Sullivan, who is in Taipei. More and more Taiwanese people, by their own, China’s separate identity.
The Taiwanese democracy activist Le Ming-che is being held in China
Speech to the one-year anniversary
With voltage is expected, such as Tsai responded on Saturday in a speech to one-year Amtsjubiläum to criticism, and whether you are announcing a change of policy. A Problem you have not to fear in any case, the experts Sullivan and Yu agree: A strong Opposition. The KMT has not established a year after their bitter defeat is still a new and selected, also on Saturday, a new Chairman.
A strong focus on economic interdependence with China was, in the view of many observers, one of the main reasons for the KMT debacle. In order to be viable in the future, it is said, once the China-based party needed to rejuvenate itself, “Taiwan materialize” and the changing spirit of the times to adapt. There is little to be seen, but rather the reaction to the slogan is reminiscent of “Forward into the past”.
KMT Delegation to the big brother in Beijing – With China-politics can score the Opposition
Opposition does not come out of the crisis
None of the three favorites for the party presidency promises a new start: The former Vice President Wu, The-yih for the China policy of the defeated government. The acting Chairman Hung Hsiu-chu goes even further, calls open to “unification” as the desired remote destination and has the backing of the old soldiers, of an influential party wing. Of Hau Lung-bin, former mayor of Taipei, and even the son of an arch-conservative Generals and Ex-Prime Minister, are also little new impetus is to be expected.
An Alternative for Tsai disappointed young voters, the KMT is not the case, says Sullivan. “Apart from the old strategy to improve the economy through closer cooperation with China, you have to offer them.”