Diplomacy
Comment: A correct answer
What NATO decides in Warsaw at the summit, is not a Cold war, but wise Realpolitik. The fronts have been clarified. The loser could be the Ukraine and Georgia, says Bernd Riegert.
NATO rattles with the saber, but only very quietly. Because in military terms, are not meant to be four battalions on the Eastern border is really a threat to the much stronger Russian forces. Moscow is not going to be impressed by the increase of the NATO forces really. And the expected in the case of NATO, no one. It was much more of an effort to show unity. And it was to show the Baltic States, which were part of the Soviet Union, and the States of the former Soviet forged Warsaw Pact: NATO understands your Concerns.
No one believes Seriously in NATO, that Russia intends to present NATO countries to attack, or to cover with hybrid attacks Russian “green men” in Ukraine. President Putin goes to the NATO reading something else. He wants to secure his influence in the Ukraine, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, Azerbaijan and Armenia. And that is what he has done. Belarus is an ally. The rest of the States are involved in conflicts fueled by Russia is crucial. With this “frozen” conflict, none of these States can become a member of NATO. For years, if not decades, in addition to the Terrain is staked out.
Europe Correspondent Bernd Riegert
The recent Putin’s visit in Finland is to be understood. The Finns, who are attracted to a rapprochement with NATO, has made Moscow clear that Finland has a very, very long time, in case of doubt, vulnerable border with Russia.
NATO, for its part, Russia will do with this summit meeting in Warsaw in a clear, up to this point and no further. The Western NATO-States, which are not directly threatened, with. A split in NATO has not managed Putin to date.
No Saber
In Warsaw, partially in service, missile defense is also not a saber, with the rattled. She is not technically able to stop Russian ICBMs. It is, at best, against the threat from North Korea or Iran. And the leadership in Moscow, of course, even if she claims the opposite.
Now that that’s settled, is actually a new dialogue of NATO with Russia. The NATO-Russia Council should be revived. President Putin on the phone kicking with the presidents Obama and Hollande and Chancellor Merkel. Dialogue at the highest level. And he must, because the NATO States and Russia have common political interests: The conflict in Syria, a defense of Islamic terrorism, developments in Afghanistan or in Iran. Not to speak of the economic interests.
You will have to deal, therefore, setting up according to this Warsaw summit and the real politically grounded. Bear the brunt of this double strategy of NATO, the silent saber-rattling and dialogue, especially the Ukraine and Georgia. You can adjust to the fact that Russia will long remain a thorn in their flesh and NATO military can do anything or wants to.
No Ideology
President Putin is supposed to be where he is now, in terms of medical. A return of the Crimea, a withdrawal from Abkhazia or Transnistria will remain an Illusion. With the Cold war, it has to do by the way very little to. At that time two hostile ideologies were as blocks to the teeth of thousands of soldiers armed with Dog in Central Europe. Today, the number of conventional forces is rather small. Democracies are, on the Putin Regime following any ideology, but in some cases erratic and unpredictable than the Soviet leadership to receive Power and privileges. The answer is NATO, the cold makes the tactician in the Kremlin, is exactly the Right thing to do.