USA

Showdown on Super Tuesday

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are very difficult to stop. Your competitors have to deliver, otherwise the candidates for the presidential election in November, on Wednesday.

The first primaries in the US electoral campaign are actually appetizers only appetite. The main course in the party’s internal race for the presidential candidacy of the “Super Tuesday” – the “Super Tuesday”. On this day, namely, voters, and party members vote in twelve States, as well as the U.S. territory of American Samoa, who is going to stand in the November election to the U.S. presidency.

Almost every state has a slightly different mode. However, in all of the delegates will be nominated and elected, the vote in the summer on the national party days about which candidate the party ultimately.

On Super Tuesday, both major parties together to select a major of your choice, men – almost five times as many as in all previous appointments. In the case of the Democrats, it is on this day, a little more than one-third of the Republicans was even almost the half of all delegates.

However, the great relevance of the Super-not Tuesday the Figures. Also, the differences between the Federal States on ethnic and religious composition of its population and the economic structure plays a role, says Matthew Wilson, an expert on U.S. elections at Southern Methodist University in Dallas. Who will win in so many different States, could claim to represent wide sections of the population – an important Argument for the supporters in the expensive US election.

Trumps strong Momentum

Most demographers say for the Super-Tuesday marked the victories of the already leading candidate. If you are correct, it could already stand on Wednesday that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton slug it out in the next presidential election.

Donald Trump (m.) must assert itself against several comrades-in-arms of the Republicans

With it, Trump is likely to have something heavier, now final to enforce because the candidate field is in the Republicans continue to be very large. Four of their competitors have won in previous primaries, delegates, and are still in the race. To outdo in advance, would have to Trump to win the Super-Tuesday.

However, even if he only wins with moderate projection and also on Wednesday is still einholbar, believes Julian Zelizer, a historian and political scientist at the University of Princeton, is not an open race: “His lead and the Momentum, that would result, would demoralize the supporters of the other candidates on the demo.”

Sanders under pressure

In the case of the Democrats, however, it looks like the race on Tuesday to decide. “It’s something Drastic would have to happen in order for Bernie Sanders remains to be a Chance,” says Stella Rouse, Director of the Center for American Politics and Citizenship at the University of Maryland.

Also choice expert Wilson Hillary Clinton already sees as a democratic candidate: “My prediction is that Clinton will win thanks to its strong African-American base in the southern States, and thus makes everything clear.” Sanders have received from this group of voters, so far, no significant support. Without them, so Wilson could win in the Democratic party today.

After their victory in South Carolina’s experts on Hillary Clinton already see as a presidential candidate for the Democrats

Accordingly, the Super Tuesday Sanders would be’ last Chance, Clinton on their way to the presidential candidacy of stopping, says Princeton researchers Zelizer: “Sanders would have to retract a whole bunch of solid wins, otherwise his campaign is at an end.”

Voltage is guaranteed to

Even if Trump and Clinton reached a preliminary decision, is expected to remain the election campaign for the U.S. presidency exciting. Because that Clinton against a self-proclaimed “socialists”, it does not mean that they can be against a Republican candidate. “If she continues to lose white voters, as the race against Bernie Sanders,” says election expert Wilson, “it could be in the presidential election in November is a Problem for you.”

But two Republican candidates could cause quite a stir: Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio. You would have to convince their supporters, however, now that you can stop Trump. “Cruz needs to win Texas and in a few other States do well,” says Stella Rouse, of the University of Maryland. “Rubio’s path is not so clear: He is not in any of the Super-Tuesday-States favorite.”