Ireland

Threatens in Ireland a stalemate?

On Friday, voices of the Irish people in a choice from, in accordance with the example of Spain could run. It is not unlikely that there will be a stalemate in the government formation. Gavan Reilly from Dublin.

It was long afterwards that Ireland, from the now well-known EU pattern break out and a government wiederwählen would, in the long-term, painful Save responsible for. But directly in front of the important choice, it seems now as if Ireland is the example
Spain and Portugal would follow. Then would be the choice to no definite result, but to a very complicated attempt to form a government.

Five years ago, were the center-Right party Fine Gael and the left-of-centre party to Labour, with 55 percent to the top of the country chosen. But in surveys of the past weekend was their consent to 35 percent was reduced – that is likely to hardly for a forming a government. Fine Gael (29 per cent) has relatively little agreement lost. The labour party, however, is 6 percent crashed.

The last election took place in 2011, right after Ireland, the rescue program of the Troika had begun. The country received a loan of 67.5 billion euros, with a painfully high interest rate. In return had to Ireland, a drastic savings in the public service, his tax increases and unpopular measures, such as local Grundstückssteuern and payments for the supply of water to introduce.

Enda Kenny and his Fine Gael could be a bad Surprise to expect

To even more displeasure led to the government all senior bondholders of Ireland’s banks is fully paid, and that, although the taxpayers are already 64 billion euros had paid to just these banks before the fall to save.

No real economic recovery

The support, particularly for the labour party, mainly for two reasons, this was burgled. The first and more obvious of these is the rejection of the austerity measures from the population. The other reason for the decline is that the three-week election campaign, the two parties mainly on the premise was that Ireland’s economy has recovered. At first glance, it appears they have a bitter medicine to the Irish economy actually helped: their annual growth rate amounted to 7 percent and is the highest in the entire EU. The unemployment rate reached a year after the election its peak of 15.1 percent. This month, it amounted to 8.6% and the government claims that Ireland in four years lead to full employment.

But the economic upswing has not reached. Almost one in six Irish people live with the risk, below the poverty line slipping. Unemployment has declined. However, include the official to Pay tens of thousands of people to Praktikumsprogrammen the government to participate – and for that 50 Euro a week in addition to their social welfare. Only about half of these “interns” may, at the end of the program in a paid position to be adopted and few, if any, of these new jobs are located in rural areas, which are still under Massenauswanderung suffering.

In some areas of Dublin is from the upswing to feel anything

Fine Gaels election campaign, almost exclusively with the economy of workers, came to so many voters is not good. A nationwide survey showed that almost half of all Irish voters no signs of an upturn perceive.

Why should a government choose their “recovery” she has left behind? And why should the Junior partner of the coalition trust had promised the cuts of Fine Gael, the sharpness to take, but whose Chairman then even the support for children and unemployment benefits for young adults are cut down?

The coalition of Fine Gael and the labour party has still chances to be re-elected, if only because it’s plausible Alternatives lack. The Fianna Fáil, the party in the middle of the spectrum, under whose Auspices it first to a spectacular Boom and then a spectacular Crash came, comes from three years to under 20 per cent. The next Alternative, the left Sinn Féin, is not much better off.

Together came the two may possibly have enough votes, but they have both already have the co-operation excluded: Fianna Fáil because of the Connections of Sinn Féin to the IRA and Sinn Féin, because of Fianna Fáil’s austerity measures have been initiated. More and more voices are now either independent politician or at a number of new small parties.

“Ireland was originally a ‘two and a half party System’,” says Paraic Gallagher, political correspondent at the national station Newstalk, about the old System from Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael and the smaller labour party. “But many have their trust in Fianna Fáil after the Crash are lost. And from what Fine Gael and Labour have made many more parties, which is now the majorities of the columns.”

Because of this divide are now more factors than ever important to have a coalition with a parliamentary majority, says Gallagher.

Without an obvious successor government, and with three major parties, which together govern want, could many voters of the current government support – not out of loyalty, but simply because it is the smallest Evil.