Will Boris Johnson to ignore the law against a hard Brexit? He will once again call for new elections? Will reject the Parliament again? What are the options left to the British Prime Minister? From London, Barbara Wesel.
The resignation of Amber Rudd, the political drumbeat from the weekend was. You had wondered how it was able to endure the labour Minister from the moderate wing of the Conservatives in the Cabinet of Boris Johnson at all. Now she drew the consequences and threw in parting with stones: you can’t watch “how good, loyal, moderate, Conservative, to be excluded”. The Actions of the Prime Minister, was an attack on “decency and democracy” and an “act of political vandalism”. Also, you don’t think that “made a Deal” with the EU, “the main aim of the government”, because 90% of the energy would be used to No-Deal preparations.
Four more resignation candidate be suspected in Johnson’s Cabinet. The table-cloth between him and the moderate Tories seems to be permanently cut.
Lost Faith: Amber Rudd
Delayed trip to Dublin
In the morning, Boris Johnson will travel to Dublin for the Irish Premier Leo Varadkar. It is to be a Meeting of confidence-building in the Guesthouse of the government. The Irish are already mad at the British, because he has not visited them earlier. And trust there can be no question, because Johnson wanted to so far give no Details about an alternative solution for the maintenance of open border between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland price. On the other hand, he wants to remove the so-called “Backstop” to each of the exit agreement. Where to stay as the Irish interests? To expect a rather tense meeting.
Previously it was brought up during the talks in Brussels, only a scheme for the unobstructed Transport of agricultural products into the game. This would not, however, solved the border problem, according to the EU itself. Unconfirmed conjectures, the British government could be a return to the old solution, to keep the North of Ireland alone in Parts of the internal market and the customs Union so far. The EU had proposed, before it later came to the British desire for advanced “Backstop”. This could not but afford Boris Johnson only when he needs the support of the Northern Irish DUP. From the looks of it thus, you will know only after the elections.
Little confidence in Boris Johnson: The Irish Prime Leo Varadkar
What if the Premier does not respect the law?
In the afternoon, the Prime Minister wants to return to the house of Commons, to demand re-elections. For that he needs to remain a two-thirds majority. The Opposition has not conspired, however, to do Boris Johnson this Favor. Labour, Liberal, Scottish, SNP, and Independent want as long as say no until you have made sure of that in October an extension of the Brexit-date. You do not trust the Prime Minister.
To do this, you have all the more reason, since on Sunday, his Finance Minister Sajid Javid said in the political talk show on the BBC, the Prime will not apply for an extension. On the question of whether he intends to violate the law, there was no clear answer. Foreign Minister Dominic Raab said but, you’ll have to explore all the possibilities of the law, to work around an extension. The government seems to hope for a legal loophole, or want to leave it in a dispute to arrive.
The worst clash since 1688
That a Prime Minister willingly wants to be a law breaking is not occurred in recent British history. From the Downing Street rumors, he noted that a legal dispute would drag on before the Supreme court until the UK automatically at the 31. October, from the EU fell. However, this Plan would plunge the United Kingdom in a renewed and even more severe constitutional crisis. It would be the “worst of it was established in shock since 1688, the parliamentary government”, writes the Times.
Tip the scales in the Brexit-armed? Britain’s Supreme Court
Last Thursday, Johnson had reiterated in a speech in Yorkshire itself, that he would rather “apply for dead lying in the ditch” as in the case of the EU extension. So far, he has given but no indication of what he wants to do instead. He later gave only the hint that he would use his “persuasion of power” and the other EU heads of government at the summit to persuade in mid-October to a Deal. The danger is that the Premier says here the British once again untruth. Because at the EU summit, the 27 negotiate at all with the British head of government, but only with each other. Each of the exit agreement would have to be in at the time ready on the table.
Will France say no?
The French foreign Minister, Jean-Yves Le Drian said at the weekend, there is a lack of progress in the talks in Brussels. “This is a cause for concern. The British must tell us what you want.” You are not going to extend the deadline “every three months”. So far, the discussions with the British negotiators in Brussels for a Farce. The British Officer, David Frost, have so far brought no concrete proposals. In addition, the EU is alarmed because he wants to loosen the commitments of the political Declaration and suddenly, to guarantee to the Brexit between the two sides a “level playing field” in the rule book. Thus, a free trade agreement between the two sides would be almost impossible.
Want to know what the British want: Jean-Yves Le Drian
Already at the time of the last renewal of Brexit-term President of the European Council, Donald Tusk, warned that the British should use the time well and not “wasting”. This reminder is faded away. Even then, the French government in the matter of renewal was skeptical. Although it is not expected that Paris really says no, if London good arguments for a new period to come. This could be in the first line, a second Referendum, and perhaps even new elections. But the aim is not to give more time for even more strife and political Chaos in the UK.
What can you do to Boris Johnson now?
What remains the Premier? He could apply for a motion of censure against himself. The have rejected his advisers, however, so far, and the Premier emphasized that he wanted to remain in the government. However, a Plan B, in Downing Street, that Boris Johnson could submit his resignation. This would clear the way for a transitional government with a person of trust of the Opposition, which would then have the Brexit extension in Brussels instead of his request. In the meantime, would throw Johnson in an election campaign with all means of populism. The basic theme is already clear: The people are rising up because of the Brexits against the Parliament. The election date would be in November, after a possible shift of the exit date.
The rudder around tear? Boris Johnson in distress
The other possibility is that Johnson makes it is actually on the legal battle to arrive, and the Anti-No-Deal-law disregarded. The process and the consequences of this variation are not yet foreseeable. High lawyers have already warned that Boris Johnson might go to jail.
And finally, the Prime could tear around the rudder, and seriously a Deal with the EU. However, the time is very short: Up to the Leaving date it is exactly 52 days.