The power struggle between the British Prime Minister and the Parliament goes into the decisive round. Tory rebels want to vote with the Opposition to make a No-Deal-Brexit impossible.
“I don’t want new elections, you do not want new elections,” said Boris Johnson, at his standing Desk in front of Downing Street on Monday evening. But the explanation is being read the other way around: If in fact, up to 20 Tory rebels vote on Tuesday with the Opposition, then the Prime Minister wants to interpret it as a vote of confidence. And if he loses, he would be compelled, almost, to hold elections. It is the fight between Johnson and the Parliament to strategic moves and comes in the power, who can outmaneuver the other side. Outside the barriers, called the protesters “stop the Coup”, and they said the forced leave, he wants to send to the Parliament next week. The Premier was visibly irritated, but this kind of criticism is he needs to get used to.
Not skin off my feet!
He was “confident about the progress we make,” said Boris Johnson, and said to the renegotiation of an amended Brexit agreement with the EU. So far, there is this progress, however, is only in his imagination, because in Brussels is still no concrete talks about new proposals have taken place. The British would have to come up with alternative ideas, if you want to repay the Backstop, the disputed regulation for the preservation of the open border between Ireland and Northern Ireland, under the agreement. This had made both the German Chancellor as well as the French President clearly, as Boris Johnson auditioned in front of ten days.
The British Prime Minister brings against it the appearance that it was primarily the threat with a hard, unregulated Brexit, which could bring the other countries in the EU to cave. “Don’t hit the feet of the British negotiating position,” he said on the eve of the crucial session of the Parliament, the rebels in his own party. As if the Europeans would not set a hard Brexit.
At the end of August, the country demonstrated far-hundreds of thousands against the decision of Boris Johnson to send the Parliament in a forced break
“It avoids a lot of delay in the Brexit,” warned Johnson, given the plans to bind him by a law fast-tracked the hands and force him to ask the EU for an extension. He’ll do “under any circumstances,” vowed the Prime Minister. From this, there are two conclusions: He could not abide by such a law, just ignore it. A possibility that had opened his Minister, Michael Gove, in an Interview already. Or Johnson is calling for new elections, continues to win and the fact that he then had the parliamentary majority for a hard Brexit.
Poker high stakes
About 20 rebels were counted in the last few days in the ranks of the conservative party. To Philip Hammond, the Minister of Finance in the government of Theresa May, as well as other former Ministers and employees. The small group of Pro-Europeans and some of the moderate Tories, who are fighting specifically against a hard Brexit without agreement with the EU.
Johnson threatened to meanwhile, with the expulsion from the party, and thus, to block the candidacy of his opponent in elections. This earned him the accusation of hypocrisy, for he had done exactly the same under Theresa May Johnson himself had voted against the Prime Minister and their Brexit Deal and contributed to their defeat, without suffering consequences.
The Plan of the dissenters and the Opposition for the Tuesday, now, to accept the agenda and a new law to introduce. It is designed to force the Prime Minister to ask the EU for a further extension, if up to the EU summit on 17. October a new outlet agreement is negotiated.
To be voted in principle on Wednesday. Now, however, it could be that Boris Johnson shoots again, his opponents in the knee, even before this vote, proclaims elections and immediately vote on it. The Premier would win the approval of two-thirds of the Parliament, would be dissolved and could continue to do nothing, to prevent a hard Brexit.
An elephant trap for the Opposition?
On Monday morning, the former Labour Prime Minister Tony Blair had warned his own party before that of Boris Johnson for new elections to seduce. This could be an “elephant trap” for Labour, because if they take place before the Leaving date, they would split the votes of the Opposition and the Tories after the British electoral system, a victory is assured. After the massive crash from Labour in the elections to the European Parliament, many also believe in their own ranks, that Corbyn could not beat a Challenger, Boris Johnson.
The Labour leader himself, however, his followers agreed on Monday in Salford on the election campaign: “I’m ready, you’re ready…” and he confirmed that he would vote in favour of new elections. Others in the party, keep it mind it is more important to overthrow first the application for a law against the “No-Deal” to get through, as the country again in an election campaign. The last Time Theresa May 2017 had gambled away their majority, and a flash poll on Monday pointed to the fact that even Boris Johnson would not be able to win a clear victory for the Tories. Just as little, however, is a Labour Triumph is in the cards – the probability of signs once more to a Parliament without a clear majority.
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Johnson: “the whole of the EU on the 31. October leave”
A further deception in this situation is that Boris Johnson has the Power to determine the election date, hands-free. Even if the members of Parliament for new elections on November 14. October votes, could he move after that, the date on and after the Brexit. That would mean, he United Kingdom on the 31. October, from the EU, in addition to lead, come what may. And he could be in November, then the votes of all Brexiteers, even of those who now support Nigel Farage and his Leaving party. Because after the Brexit, there is no life authorization and more.
The whole thing is a game with high stakes and marked cards. Boris Johnson takes the ultimate struggle for power with the Parliament and is ready to throw all of the rules and traditions of the pile, in order to make it tractable, do not Succeed, then he pulls the threat of new elections out of the bag. For the majority of the rebels, this means the loss of their political office and the end of their party career. Boris Johnson can win this bet as well as lose. He is a much better campaigner than his predecessor, Theresa May, but certainly nothing in Brexit is currently in Britain.