G7: Without Trump anything goes

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Whether Brexit, Iran or Russia – for all the talk of the G7 rounds, whether bilaterally or in groups, will be closely watched as US President, Trump behaves. In addition to Erwartbarem but there are also Surprises.

They really have the same blonde hair color, Donald Trump and the new British Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Coincidence, or political statement? And even otherwise, the American President and the British demonstrated their shared Breakfast, intimate fellowship. “He is the right man for the Job,” says Trump, and promises to be a great, fantastic trade Treaty between the two countries. Actually, the is as good as done, if you want to believe the US President.

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Trump announces U.S. commercial Treaty with great Britain

Johnson sells British pork pie

For the British Prime this is the opportunity to make his country people the “huge opportunities” by the Brexit tasty. He comes with an amazing list of goods he wants to export in the future in the USA: The famous Melton Mowbray pork pie, cauliflower, shower trays and especially British wine. The British economy lives, especially in the service sector, but he hopes to make American friends with the hygienic and culinary achievements of the British are known.

Donald Trump, in turn, promises that everything will simply, if Britain was freed of the “anchor at the foot,” he added, referring to the EU. Nothing, however, is. And Johnson had to explain the British health system will open for US companies. He must do this, otherwise the British would tear him up in the air. On the other hand, Johnson wants to be allowed to public tenders in the United States – but many of them have dreamed of. Connoisseurs know how hard the battle to the details in the case of commercial contracts, and that the devil is in the Detail.

Tactics? A bit close to the Europeans to show…

The Meeting with Trump is for the British, a high-wire act. He must have the President at his side, and hopes of economic success Wake. On the other hand, he may not get too far away from the Europeans, he’s foreign and security need politically. So Johnson refused to invite Russia to the G7, but it was too early. The US President announced in the Morning, he will invite the Russians to the next summit in the United States by 2020. A few hours later, but he was balanced by the statement and said that the relationship was a “work in progress”.

Cross over with the Europeans

The EU and Boris Johnson remains on a collision course. First, he gave himself a slugfest with EU Council President Donald Tusk over who of them will be remembered as “Mr. No-Deal” in the story, when it comes to a hard exit at the end of October. Then he calls for the summary deletion of the “Backstop”, the EU’s solution to the Irish border is a problem, and here, in Biarritz, he renewed his threat that he would not pay the final invoice for the Europeans of 39 billion euros. Boris Johnson offers the first of only 9 billion. The Elysee Palace countered, it would then be a case of default in sovereign debt, which would damage the country in the financial markets.

Who is Mr. No-Deal – Tusk or Johnson?

No solution to the Iran problem

The good news from the first tangible result of the meeting in Biarritz, however, had a short half-life. There is an order to the French President, to lead negotiations with Iran, was declared. Emmanuel Macron had spoken in advance with the Iranian foreign Minister, Mohammed Javad Zarif, to test the readiness of Tehran. His Plan was to obtain in the United States for a Moratorium on the penalties applicable to open space for new diplomatic Attempts to get the nuclear agreement and to extend.

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Conflict to the Strait of Hormuz

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People on the island of Hormuz

But hardly the Team of the French had proclaimed the good news, already the US President said: “we have not discussed at all”. You’ll create his own contacts, but: “If people want to talk, then you talk”. A snub to his host Macron, which adds to the previous rudeness, and rudeness Trumps another. The French President was forced to backpedal.

Against this Background, the question of how vague the Amazon-decisions of the G7 are remains. Here, too, announced Macron on the sidelines of the summit decision, according to which the fight against the forest fires, financial and technical support. With the help of the G7 group to the benefit of the countries concerned “as quickly as possible”. The French President pointed out that the Amazon-bordering country of Colombia have asked the international community for help. “That’s why we have to be ready.” Had planned an “international mobilization mechanism”.

Fake News

Early in the Morning, Donald Trump had complained that the press was widespread in Biarritz, Fake News, because of the tension and bad mood behind the Scenes was reported. “The leaders come blindingly clear to each other,” tweeted Trump this. But the called by him the castle of peace in the G7 held only until noon.

Also on the topic of trade war, the message of the US President is to be interpretable. The G6 – all except for Trump to believe that the escalation with China’s poison for the world economy and are in favour of the spiral of ever new duties to break through. As a Reporter, Donald Trump asked whether his Alliance partners would push him, to drive the trade of war, not the response was: “no, not at all. (…) They respect the trade war.” If he had doubts? “Yeah, sure, why not”. If he have doubts about the escalation of the trade war with China? “I doubt everything”.

After a few hours, the press office of the White house corrected the hopes down, or up, as you want. The President regrets only to have the customs duties not higher gears. Anyway, to be on such an edge is not a policy comments build, and the G6 after the discussion with the US President as smart as before.