Before his Meeting with Angela Merkel on Wednesday night Boris Johnson has called on the EU to continue to negotiate on the Brexit. The Answer: Silence. What Johnson in Berlin with Merkel yet?
When Boris Johnson comes to Angela Merkel to Berlin, to speak about the cul-de-SAC, in the Brexit stuck, encounter of two worlds. On the one hand, the British Prime Minister, a man with an impulsive, often flegelhaftem Consultation with populist rhetoric and a tendency for the economical handling of the truth. On the other hand, the Chancellor is the epitome of methodical, analytical, sober approach to difficult situations. Even under optimal circumstances, it is difficult to imagine that the two of them find many similarities. In view of the heated, turbulent discussions about the Brexit a approach seems as unlikely as ever.
If not, at the last Minute a turn comes, it is likely Johnson’s conversations with Merkel and the French President, Emmanuel Macron, he will meet on Thursday, hardly a breakthrough.
Methodical, sober, and European woman: Angela Merkel
“A cynical view, it is nothing more than a show for his audience at home, when [Johnson] says he would make one last attempt. The EU will say: no, it’s the outlet to do as it is. And then he comes with this Extra legitimacy to the home,” says Charlotte Galpin, lecturer in German and European politics at the University of Birmingham.
Who is to blame for what and why?
The British Prime Minister is an exercise in finger-pointing and provides Merkel, Macron and the EU to negotiate either new or to accept that the UK will leave the EU without agreement. The answer, he will get to it, is in all probability the same as always: We do the exit agreement, and we do not refrain entirely sure on the Backstop.
The Backstop is a key part of the already negotiated agreement, to enter into force, if, by the end of 2020, not a long-term agreement between the UK and the EU to come up with. The Backstop is prevented, that there is between the British Northern Ireland and the EU-member Republic of Ireland have a tough customs border; this means that the UK must remain in a customs Union with the EU on possibly an indefinite period of time. For the Brexit-a Hardliner on the island is unacceptable. According to schroff Johnson is a replica: In this case, he says, he would have no hesitation in United Kingdom on the 31. To October without a Deal from the EU withdrawal.
On both sides of the sound is sharper, especially on the British. “[Johnson and his Team] like to use a military expression, which constitutes the agreement as a kind of war, speaks of it that we pull in the battle, that great Britain should not surrender, that the [Brexit-] opponent in the United Kingdom collaborators in the EU. I think that these Meetings belong to this kind of performance,” says Charlotte Galpin.
The German government has done its homework for the case of a No-Deal outlet. An analysis of the Ministry of Finance called recently, such a withdrawal without an agreement on the 31. October “very likely”; it was “unthinkable” that Johnson would relent in his attitude to the Backstop on the island of Ireland. In the paper of Berlin is underscored opposition to any kind of renegotiation, the British Prime Minister calls for; it says that it was “crucial” that all EU member States remained on a line and not in view of the possibility of a disorderly exit of the British people “lose their nerve”.
Young Nordirin demonstrated for the whereabouts in the EU (March 2019)
Germany has already passed more than 50 laws and other measures, in order to be a No-Deal-Brexit prepared. It also includes an Agreement between the German Bank regulator, BaFIN and its British counterpart, the FCA, the cross-border financial transactions is regulates. Berlin has also recruited 900 extra customs officials to deal with the expected backlog in the processing of the customs formalities at the new limits.
Who needs whom?
A popular opinion, Johnson believes that Germany is more dependent on Britain than Vice versa. The United Kingdom is actually a major trading partner of Germany, but also not more. “For Germany, the common market and the trade with the 27 remaining member States of the EU are more important. So there is a limit for what is to offer in Germany. And then there’s the fact that the Brexit negotiations since the beginning of the task of Michael Barnier and his Commission is not there; for Germany alone, therefore, has much influence on the Brexit process,” says Galpin.
Apparently Johnson believes that if he could move, Angela Merkel, to make concessions, would have to pull the rest of the EU States. “The idea is that the German Chancellor is much more flexible and more open to a more compliant approach to the negotiations. France is less mobile. If he could achieve concessions from Merkel, he would have chances on new negotiations with the EU – that is, I think, Johnson’s thought process,” says Hussein Kassim of the think tank “the UK in a Changing Europe”.
In the case of a Brexit-Simulation, there were traffic jams in front of the port of Dover (January 2019)
In view of the Tricks and counter-tricks, the barely veiled threats, the “you’re on the train”-attitude that puts the United Kingdom in the past in the day, it is quite an achievement that the EU remains at their Position. “The EU-27 remained in this thing was remarkably in agreement. When you consider how divided on other questions, to which Europe has, it is truly amazing that they stayed in this issue line,” says Charlotte Galpin.
Johnson hopes, as Hussein Kassim’s Consideration, to sow at least a few doubts among the EU member States and to play for his supporters at home, where the debate is quite different. “The British Public, the political class or the media don’t really have an impression of what exactly is going on. Therefore, I believe that [Johnson] is taken to be a diplomatic Mission, under these circumstances, the bare coin. The people will not be put in question, not in a predictable way.”