The upcoming parliamentary election is a turning point. President Selenskyjs party to absolute majority. The many young, new faces to bring into the Parliament. But Pro-Russian forces could again be strong.
Nearly seven months Volodymyr needed Selenskyj to conquer the Ukraine. On new year’s eve, the 41-year-old television comedian, who had announced his candidacy for the presidential election, which he won in April with 73 percent. In the early parliamentary election on Sunday, his party is now in front of a house of high victory. The previously little-known Association “servants of the people”, named after a Comedy series with Selenskyj in the main role, depending on the survey, between 41 and 52 percent – a record. The deputies of the Ukrainian Parliament are elected only half through party lists. When adding the number of direct mandates, it is allowed to make Selenskyj great hopes on the absolute majority. The jump over the Five-percent-hurdle will probably create in addition, yet four other parties, which are, however, considerably more.
In may, the President had dissolved the Parliament and to the actually for the autumn set, choice, like, three months preferred. Now the calculus seems to be working. The party benefited from its high popularity values. Also the recipe for success is the Same, it exists predominantly made up of young newcomers without ties to previous parties, which are in many of the Ukrainians is extremely unpopular. An exception to campaign Manager Dmytro Razumkov, a 35 forms a-year-old former political consultant, was once a member of the party of regions of former President Viktor Yanukovych.
How Selenskyjs party of Ukraine wants to change
The upcoming election is crucial for Selenskyj, because of the radical new beginning, the former comedian is aiming for, is without a large majority hardly enforceable. For a Selenskyj wants to reform almost all the areas of digitisation and thereby fight corruption. On the other hand, he also hinted a settlement with the legacy of the former President, Petro Poroshenko.
His party is a victory: President Volodymyr Selenskyj
So a number of officials from the Poroshenko dismissed Selenskyj already-time, and suggested that the so-called Lustration, a ban for officials from the Era of former President Yanukovych, to be employed in public services, on Poroshenko and his Team to expand. A bill is already in Parliament. Also, a criminal prosecution seems possible, especially since the party of the “servants of the people” would like to abolish the General immunity of deputies in the country. A majority of the population is likely to welcome that. Also the influence of oligarchs on politics wants to limit the party of Selenskyj. It is unclear whether this also applies to Ihor Kolomoyskyi, with the Selenskyj prior to his election, at least, business was connected. Critics Selenskyj a political Alliance with the businessman, what riding both of them the best. The fact is that the President’s office is headed by a former lawyer of Kolomoyskyi. The leader of the party “servants of the people” is running as a candidate of the General Director of a television station, the Kolomoskyj heard and Selenskyj supported.
The return of Yanukovych elites and the help from Moscow
How much can be implemented from these plans, is likely to depend on whether Selenskyjs party is alone or in a coalition to govern. As a possible Partner, “the opposition platform for life offers”, which is currently in the polls with twelve to 15 percent to second place. Still, there is a coalition for the a few statements, but there is Overlap in some of the key questions. It consists of supporters mainly from former Yanukovych. The party itself, in the Russian-speaking East and South-East of Ukraine is rooted, stands for a rapprochement with Russia and promises an end to the war of position with the separatists in the coalfields of the Donbass.
How big is the influence of the oligarch Ihor Kolomoyskyi on the President is actually?
For Selenskyj this is a Central concern. The head of state is positioned as a peace President, and supports the aspirations of many Ukrainians, according to a soon-to-be the end of the war. “We are ready to do anything to implement what is in the Minsk agreements,” said Selenskyj in a DW interview. Apparently, he is to more concessions than its predecessor. After the parliamentary election, many expected a new start-up in this key question of Ukrainian policy.
Striking in this election the media and political support from Russia. Last Moscow seized in the 2004 presidential election in Ukraine massive party, then for Yanukovych. Also this time the former party-goers, who are now organized in the “the opposition platform” to get similar support from Russia.
Also a coalition of willing led by the Fatherland party of former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko is shown. It is located in surveys in the mid-single-digit range. A year ago, Tymoshenko was regarded as the influence of a politician, rich, but their popularity has since declined dramatically.
Is likely to play with his party in the upcoming elections only a minor role: Ex-President Petro Poroshenko
Ex-President and rock singer in the Opposition
In Opposition in the new Parliament, Poroshenko should be the party of “European solidarity” and the new party “Holos” (English: the voice) of the rock singer, Svyatoslav Vakarchuk. Both Woo the voters in Western Ukraine, the only Region where Selenskyj has no majority. While Poroshenko is promoting his party as a force against “Pro-Russian revenge,” the 44-year-old Vakarchuk is rather moderate and is trying to copy Selenskyjs recipe for Success. Similar to “servants of the people” is also “voice” is mostly made up of young, unknown politicians. To be a candidate “for the Parliament and young people to bring” the best way to change the country, so Vakarchuk compared to the DW.
Experts in Kiev to see in the parliamentary elections a Chance for a new beginning and refer to a lot of new faces that embody the new generation. But to also listen to the warnings of a reversal in the direction of Russia – of all the Pro-Western rhetoric, in Spite of are. New tensions would be inevitable.