After his victory in the presidential election, Volodymyr Selenskyj could win with his party, the early parliamentary election in Ukraine. A new coalition to emerge.
A President without a majority in Parliament – in this state, Volodymyr Selenskyj not want to stay long. Shortly after his inauguration in may, the head of state, dissolved the Parliament and continued for the 21. July, new elections, three months before the regular date.
The constitutional court has confirmed on Thursday the decision. The background to the dispute the question of when the coalition is in the present Parliament, decay was already in 2016, or until may 2019.
Selenskyjs recipe for success: young, hip, and politics
A month before the vote, it looks like the former comedian and actor would be able to continue his success in politics. Selenskyjs party “servants of the people” is in the polls at 40 percent to 50 percent and so far in front of the other. It is named after a popular TV satirical series, in the Selenskyj a randomly elected President in a teacher plays. The party existed rather on paper, and will now be created from the retort.
Selenskyj maintains his Image as an outsider who wants to makes things differently and clean up. He also skillfully uses the revulsion felt by many Ukrainians for years compared to established politicians and parties. The 41-Year-old close to the people and surrounds himself with young, hip people from the middle class. On the choice list, there should be no politicians, were already represented in the Parliament. Most candidates are between 35 and 45 years old, come from the private sector and to a wide audience are unknown.
Selenskyjs party “servants of the people” focuses on new, unknown faces
Ideologically wants to understand “servants of the people” as a party of libertarianism, although the majority of Ukrainians is likely to have no idea of this rather marginal libertarian political movement. The election program promises to eradicate corruption, and more direct democracy. Very important is the digitalization seems to be for Selenskyj to be in the state sector. In foreign policy his party wants to continue the previous Pro-Western course in the direction of NATO and the EU, however, without concrete promises. It seems as Selenskyj with Pro-Western would creeds try, such as during Visits in Brussels, Paris and Berlin, his controversial Image as a latent Pro-Russian politicians store.
On the search for coalitions
At number two in the party, “the opposition platform for life”, a broad Alliance made up of former members of the earlier ruling “party of regions” of 2014 had fled to Russia President Viktor Yanukovych is in many surveys, with around ten per cent. Led the party from the 60-year-old Yuriy Boyko, who was under Yanukovych, Deputy head of government and Minister of energy.
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Unlike the “servants of the people” are on the electoral list of the party a lot of familiar faces, including the whole of the front of Victor Medwetschuk, former chief of the former President Leonid Kuchma. Medvedchuk has close contacts with Russia’s President Vladimir Putin.
Boyko and Medwetschuk traveled recently been twice to Moscow, met with the Russian leadership and signaled the willingness to approach. In the election program of the “the opposition platform has positioned itself” as a party, will bring peace to Eastern Ukraine. Their strongholds are in the East and South of Ukraine.
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In the new Parliament, this party is likely to need to change your name, because you would then, most likely, not in Opposition, but would join a new coalition, the Selenskyj party. Yet you hold back, with the coalition statements, but there is Overlapping in content, suggest a possible Alliance close. This includes the public use of the Russian language or referenda as a means of direct democracy count. Human Connections are there. So the list of “servants of the people” by Dmytro Razumkov headed, a young politician who was formerly a member of the “party of regions”.
Also, the party of former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko has already indicated to want a new coalition to Selenskyj support. In surveys, Tymoshenko’s “Fatherland party” at seven to ten percent and is likely to create the Five-percent hurdle for sure.
New voice in the Opposition
In Opposition to the new President, only the party of the former President, Petro Poroshenko, as well as a new party will be after the parliamentary elections is likely to “Golos” (“voice”) of the popular rock singer, Svyatoslav Vakarchuk. Both are a month before the election, at around seven per cent, while the Poroshenko-lose party to the consent, while the “voice” of Vakarchuk will increase. After the defeat in the presidential election hinged Poroshenko has removed his name from the name of his party, and in “European solidarity” was renamed. Whether the and a tag to help him, to save his political legacy, is still unclear. The party program speaks of a “threat” by “Revanchists”. Are meant Selenskyj and “the opposition platform”.
The 44-year-old Vakarchuk founded his party after the victory of Selenskyj and is similar to Poroshenko as his political opponent. He avoids, however, direct verbal attacks on the new President. How Selenskyj Vakarchuk is keen to bring new and fresh faces into Parliament. Both Poroshenko, as well as Vakarchuk have their strongholds in Western Ukraine. Your voters potential seems to be limited thereby. You are likely to be in the new Parliament in the minority.