In the case of the British Conservative party, the crowd is large. Boris Johnson and nine other candidates to fight for the succession of Theresa May and advertise to the Tories in the house of Commons and the party’s conservative base.
Since then, at the weekend, Michael Gove had to admit that he did some coke in his wild years, occasionally, has become the rush to the succession of Theresa May, the British press fully to Comedy. It is the question of what the ten candidate smoked inside and the candidate, or taken to have snorted to overestimate their own abilities, so much so puzzled the press. Nevertheless, the powerful conservative backbench Committee begins this afternoon, with the hearings without the drugs.
Michael Gove – the serial loser
He was regarded as a compromise candidate for the Brexiteers just bearable and for the Moderates in the conservative party a glimmer of hope. Michael Gove hoped to be able to his old rival Boris Johnson with the victory steal. He could merge the split and since the European election of doom and fears tormented Tory party, his promise. Besides, he had more than one of the intelligent, creative Minister in may’s Cabinet of mediocrity.
For Michael Gove, his old rival Boris Johnson is definitely the Nemesis
As Gove had to admit that now in the Sunday talk show of the BBC, to have in his early years as a Journalist more than once of coke snorted, no longer helped him with the deepest Regret. This is a criminal offence, he could be assigned to an entry ban for the United States and even the candidate just be hypocritical, triumphing over his opponents. He had not threatened as Minister of education, teacher dismissal, which were caught with drugs?
At the official launch of his candidacy on Monday Gove seemed oddly slowed down. As if he felt that he has lost the race already. After the Referendum in 2016, the candidate was failed in his bid to succeed David Cameron once already, because he betrayed at the time, his business partner, Boris Johnson. Now a few grams of white powder to bring him to his second Chance. Michael Gove, politically one of the more sensible Tories, will be eliminated as a serial loser.
Jeremy Hunt – the reasonably secure tax man
The Minister of foreign Affairs can, in the meantime, capturing the support of Amber Rudd, an influential representative of the moderate Tories and Pro-European, for yourself. It increases his Chance to come in as the second winner in the final round, when Michael Gove fails. Jeremy Hunt was basking in the sun during the state visit of Donald Trump striking in its luster, and constantly stresses his international experience. At least he has managed the office without any major scandals, although he raised doubts about his judgement, as he compared last year, the EU with the Soviet Union.
Jeremy Hunt with his US colleague Mike Pompeo – he emphasizes his international experience
Hunt of great Britain promises on the 31. To run October, from the EU, whether with or without a Deal. On the other hand, he does not belong to the real Brexit-hard-liners and emphasized that he wanted a new agreement with Brussels. The German Chancellor had explained to him recently that you can talk about everything and anything. It is the representation of Angela Merkel would be interesting to hear of this encounter. At least so honest to admit is the Hunt that a No-Deal-Brexit “political suicide” would be in a no-confidence vote and new elections trust could end up with.
Hunt is considered one of the “adults” of the contestants and as a possible safe tax man, politically more of a man in the middle but a little glamorous. He could win the race, if the Conservatives, faced with the Alternative of too much fear.
Dominik Raab – of-Brexit-man
The former Brexit-will be long and hard, his Brexit and without If and But. The negotiations with Brussels, in which he had participated on behalf of Theresa May, were in fact a betrayal from the outset. Dominik Raab wants to dissolve the Parliament, without the unwelcome interference of a hard-Brexit through. Democratic little things like a vote of no confidence and new elections would have to be reset. His most prominent supporter of David Davis, his colleague, as an Ex-Brexit-the Minister is. Both seem to have in Brussels radicalized.
Dominic Raab has not understood with the EU negotiator, Michel Barnier, good
Raab has, in addition to the Brexit no discernible political program. At most, an expensive tax cut that will to Finance but the more revenue after the Brexit easily, as well his hope. In the ideologized the UK these days Raab’s chances to enter the Downing Street, however, are rather low. The Tories feel that they can do with him is no state and no elections to win.
Boris Johnson – the Inevitable
The weakness of the opponent is its main strength. The betting offices to see Boris Johnson safely on the road to victory. Everything speaks against this candidate: He was, as foreign Minister, a Disaster is considered to be a habitual liar, adulterer, and deceiver of his concubines and even his supporters see him as a scoundrel. His opponents hold him for a dangerous charlatan, work-shy, self-centered, and boundlessly ambitious.
Johnson promises the Brexit for the 31. October, with or without a Deal. Although he wants to negotiate the agreement with the EU, in principle, not new, but his chances are bad. Because on the EU side, mistrust and dislike towards him. You know him too long and too well. In addition, Boris Johnson topped his Brexit Plan with a pinch of blackmailing Brussels: He’s not going to pay the opt-out bill of 39 billion euros for the EU cash easy, then the Europeans would give in already. Thus, he secures the backing of the hard Brexiteers in Parliament.
Boris Johnson sees himself as a “rebel” like Donald Trump and wants to blackmail the EU
The candidate dream to act as a second major “insurgent” in addition to Donald Trump on the world stage. You have to go into the negotiations with the EU and neat on the table hit, then it’s going to run already. His further political plans want to explain Johnson only on Wednesday, only a tax relief for higher earners, he has already announced. So he switched clearly to the Tory base, the majority of which is likely to benefit them and their votes at the end of the rash give. Not without reason, Boris Johnson is regarded as a medicinal Opportunist. And whatever he promises now: no one can be sure that he will keep it later.
But why such a dubious candidate has the greatest chances of success? Many British people find him amusing, his Jokes a bit eccentric, and his error is forgivable. And in the case of the Conservatives, he is at all serious Doubts about his fitness but the only one that will win an election, and the Tories before the Brexit-party of Nigel Farage could save. Unless something Unexpected happens, it is almost inevitable that Boris Johnson ends up in the final round, and the party base makes him the successor to Theresa May.
Javid, Leadsom, McVey, Harper, Hancock, and Stewart – the Six also-ran
Most of these names are even in the UK is not known. From these candidates, riege Minister Sajid Javid has, at best, still a Chance at an honorable mention. His Rise to fame from the son of a Pakistani-born bus driver for leaders is impressive and would open up the Conservative new layers of voters. But he is a little radical-the Brexit to win too moderate for Migration and, in General, more likely to be sensible to this competition.
Among the candidates, some are completely hopeless, but hope to profiling. (Above, from left: Boris Johnson, Dominic Raab, Jeremy Hunk and Rory Stewart. Below: Esther McVey, Matt Hancock, Andrea Leadsom and Michael Gove)
These include candidates from the second row of a Brexit-opponent, also has an interesting past, by the way. Rory Stewart emigrated as a young man, through Afghanistan and wrote an acclaimed book. And he shows that he has not the courage to have an own opinion, what matters for the Tories but currently.
A highly idiosyncratic method
Next Thursday a first vote of the conservative members in the house of Commons to be running. Those who achieved less than 5% of the votes, is out. The next Time the hurdle is raised to 10%, and after a series of such rounds should be at the end of June two candidates left, in an internal election campaign. 22. July, votes, finally, the party members in a type of election by direct vote for their favourite candidate who will then, without further ADO, the new Prime Minister.
So it comes to around 120,000 members of the conservative party, as well as the representative may determine for the majority of the British, without a General election, or other circumstances, the next Prime Minister. The reason for this is the law on the fixed term that is automatically five years, and a simple replacement of the Prime Minister’s power is. About him or her, the sword of a failure depends, however, always trust vote. After two weeks, stayed for the Tories once again to appoint another head of government, but, in fact, new elections would be inevitable. Who is feeding always so according to Theresa May in Downing Street, should not rejoice too early – he may find himself quickly on an ejector seat.