The military leadership is willing to be a part of their Power. At the same time it rejects but the civilian majority in the common government body. A conflict is coming to a head.
Once again, tens of thousands of people in Sudan have gone against the ruling military Council in the streets. Since December, the Sudanese demonstrate, first against the increase in bread prices, then against the Regime of the dictator Omar Al-Bashir and against the ruling military Council.
In mid-April, the mass protests led to the overthrow of the ruling authoritarian state had led the heads of the army. A great historical success for the Thousands of Sudanese who hold you encouraged your dream of a new Sudan.
Al-Bashir has ruled the country for nearly three decades and is wanted for years by the International criminal court in The Hague. Him are accused of war crimes.
The “Deep State” for decades in Power
After the Sudan was forced out of long-time President to resign, the army Council of the armed forces for a transitional period of two years. The Opposition sees as a coup and fears for the Revolution.
Because this step does not correspond to the demands of the protesters in the Least. Even if the dictator is gone, the System remains the same: the “Deep State” is called the fabric of this power, which ruled for decades in Sudan. In order to change the country, you must have the civilians have the upper hand, calling for the opposition. Specifically, they ask for a civilian transitional government, with minimal involvement of the military.
The ruling military, in turn, had announced last week a part of his Power. Thus, representatives of the military leadership, and the protest movement have agreed on the formation of a joint government body, in which also civilians. The exact composition of this Council, the two parties were in dispute since then.
Protesters in front of the army headquarters in Sudan, are holding posters with claims and images of Victims of the Revolution
The opposition Alliance for freedom and change has once again invited the so-called March of millions, to place the army under pressure. A few days ago, she had presented to the military Council, a document in which they outlined their demands and vision of a new Sudan.
Repeatedly, the army refused to give the civilians a majority in the government. At the most they would accept an equal division, said a General in a BBC Interview. However, the protesters insist on a civilian government in order to weaken the influence of the military.
International Actors
Sudan expert and policy analyst Tobias Simon describes the Situation in the Sudan as “tricky”. In addition to the military and the Opposition in the country, external actors have a crucial role in the next Phase. “Many are trying to take especially now influence. The African Union has given the military a further two months to give up Power. The EU has also interest in the fact that Sudan remains stable. Not least because of the ‘Khartoum Declaration’, the migration-fighting is used,” Simon said to the DW.
Also, the Emirates and Saudi Arabia are trying to continue to buy the loyalty of the military with financial injections. Not to lose, not least, the Sudanese soldiers fighting in Yemen-war on their side.
Young Sudanese have not given up the hope for a better future
The influence of Saudi Arabia and Egypt, the Director of the center for Africa and the middle East-studies in Morocco, Khaled Shaqrawi describes as dangerous for the future of Sudan: “This Alliance is not only working against the idea of democracy, but also against the presence of Islamic representatives in the political scene. Egypt, in particular, will do everything to have order in the strategically important neighbouring country like-Minded people in Power.”
Hope is not lost
Many experts, as well as Shaqrawi, fear the Revolution in the Sudan would follow the example of the Egyptian or Libyan revolts: “Suddenly, a General, and may enforce his Agenda, no matter what the price. With the bogus argument of the security, stability and unity of the country.” However, the Sudanese have not given up the hope for a genuine renewal. “Freedom, peace, justice,” chant the protesters on the streets of Khartoum’s.
“The military has assured, no mess. On the one hand, this may mean that they would make for a smooth Transition. On the other hand, can also be understood as a hidden threat. According to the Motto: If you continues to demonstrate, we will use violence. But we don’t know how the Situation will develop,” says Sudan expert Simon.