Selenskyjs victory: A hope, from anger is born

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The actor Volodymyr Selenskyj has made in the run-off election for the presidency of Ukraine, a record result. Why do the people you’re with and what will happen to the country now?

The presidential election in Ukraine has set several records: According to the preliminary results, the electoral Commission released early Monday morning, the winner is the Showman Volodymyr Selenskyj with almost three-quarters of the votes. This has not happened in the almost 30 years of the independence of the country. For the incumbent, Petro Poroshenko, only just under 25 percent of the voters voted.

Another record is the Tempo, with the Selenskyj to the state tip is charged. He had announced on new year’s eve his candidacy and only three months later, he won at the end of March with 30 percent of the first round of the election. In the runoff three weeks later, he put on this Sunday, more than Double. New for the Ukraine is that the choice is not a Pro-win politician, but an actor who plays in the popular TV series “a servant of the people,” a school teacher who is elected President.

What Selenskyjs secret to success is?

How could get a 41-year-old political newcomer with no clear agenda, and almost without a choice to fight such a trust? Selenskyjs election result is only surprising at first glance. Demographers have noted for years, political apathy in the case of the Ukrainians. At the same time, citizens want to see new politicians.

Choice winner Selenskyj: “I’m not your enemy, I’m your judgment”

According to a survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of sociology (KIIS) in April 2018, a year before the election, reached Selenskyj on a list of 30 people the highest sympathy values. 40 percent rated him positively, just as many neutral and only eleven percent negative. Poroshenko evaluated, however, approximately ten percent positive, 13 neutral and more than 70 percent negative. Selenskyjs victory is the result of disappointment, bordering on anger at the former President. The Selenskyj proposed speech duel in Kiev’s Olympic stadium, he said to Poroshenko: “I am your opponent, I am your judgment.”

But there are other reasons for the change of power: The Ukrainians give their heads of state, apparently reluctant to have a second Chance. Of the five President Leonid Kuchma in 1999, managed the re-election. According to observers, Petro Poroshenko appreciated the desire of the people for change. At the same time, he overestimated the effect of his foreign policy successes, which include visa-free travel to the Schengen area and the Association agreement with the EU.

In the case of the citizens of the dissatisfaction grew, but started with the forced pro-Ukrainian cultural policy after the annexation of Crimea by Russia, about the renaming of cities, towns, and streets with the Soviet names, and names contributed to the rising gas prices and the allegations of corruption against the environment. Poroshenko’s attempt to make a name for itself as the commander-in-chief in the Donbass war, it didn’t work. And his efforts to establish a Russian independent Ukrainian Orthodox Church, brought him no additional sympathy.

Choice fighters Poroshenko: change of mood underestimated, successes, overestimated

According to most observers, Poroshenko’s election campaign was weak and without new ideas. At the same time its competitor Interviews avoided. Volodymyr Selenskyj continued to prefer to be in social networks on young voters – and with great success.

Is Selenskyj compromise with Russia?

Poroshenko lost in the heart of the country, in the Central regions of the support. Their weight has increased after the loss of Crimea and part of Donbass. This also applies to the most densely populated Region of Dnipropetrovsk. Maybe Selenskyjs depends on a good election result that he is a native of Kryvyi Rih, the second largest industrial city of the Region. The highest electoral results achieved Selenskyj in the Russian-speaking regions in the South and the East of Ukraine, where previously candidates for elections, won, calling for a rapprochement with Russia.

Employee of Selenskyjs Social Media Team: With the success of young voters set

The question of how Selenskyj behavior to the leadership in Moscow, is one of the most important tests of his presidency. Still, he is taciturn, and is committed only to the existing course of European Integration. However, observers expect him with more willingness to compromise in the talks with the Kremlin, has indicated Selenskyj. One of the main points of the fate of de facto frozen the Minsk agreements will be for the reintegration of the separatist regions of Donetsk and Luhansk in the Ukraine.

The biggest risks for Ukraine after Selenskyjs victory

In order to overcome the dead point in the Minsk process and to reforms in the country, needs Selenskyj a majority in the Parliament, which is elected in the fall. In surveys Selenskyjs leads newly created party “the servants of the people”. However, much depends on the first few months of the term of office of the new President, and what brings people Selenskyj in Offices. This is still open. Poroshenko had already announced to stay in politics, to defend its achievements. “The new President gets a strong Opposition,” he said.

One of the biggest risks for Ukraine after Selenskyjs victory, the threat of a new confrontation within the society. The elections again show the old split in a conditional pro-Western and pro-Russian camps. To add a new line of separation is come, because in the pro-Western camp, there are both supporters as well as opponents of Selenskyj.

Another danger, according to critics, the influence of the oligarchs in the country increases due to the lack of political experience of the new President. After the first round of the election, Poroshenko claimed, Selenskyj was a puppet of the media Mogul Ihor Kolomoyskyi. Selenskyj denies any political connection to the business man who currently lives abroad.

A major challenge for the new President will be, in the opinion of observers, the high expectations and hopes of the people. In contrast to its predecessors Selenskyj is but in a question in advantage: He has promised, only for a term.