The first state visit of the new Brazilian President is probably the most important of his tenure. Bolsonaro travels in the United States, the world makes to offer in the North as a supporter.
Unpopular visit: protests against Bolsonaro-a visit to the White house
This is new: never before has a Brazilian President has accepted as demonstrative of the supremacy of the United States not only in Latin America but in world politics. Even in the Cold war, as in Brazil, the military were in Power, kept Brasilia more distance to Washington, as it Jair Bolsonaro’s up to now. The foreign Minister admired Donald Trump as the “Savior of the West”.
At the Meeting, it will arrive on the chemistry between Trump and Bolsonaro. There are two impulsive, hot-tempered politicians meet each other, both of their advisors to influence and to act rarely with regard to long-term strategies.
Similarities…
Trump and the international media, often as a “tropical-Trump” referred to Bolsonaro are in your policy similar to each other. Both operate skillfully on social media, the expectations of their followers. This has decisively contributed to their electoral victory as a political outsider. Both, surprisingly, were elected to their Offices – even for yourself. According to chaotic Takeover of the government apparatus. Both the ratio to the Parliament and the judiciary is the load voltage. Separation of powers you hold both a hindrance and unnecessary. Of their followers, they are celebrated as Savior, the “governance for the people” – unlike the feindete political caste before.
“Tropical-Trump”: Jair Bolsonaro
You set anti-democratic, minorities, hurtful, misogynistic, violence-glorifying sayings deliberately as a strategy to generate permanent attention, to dominate the media, the public, and to delight their Fans. Both glorify the past when everything was better and okay. You support the gun lobbies in their countries. You are the most Anti-globalists. You don’t hide the fact that you keep the climate change for a Mar and international organizations for nuisance. The hate unites traditional media.
… and differences
But there are also large differences: for example, Trump is a successful entrepreneur and multi-billionaire, even if he makes the Public about its true financial situation in a targeted manner and with all the means in the dark. He is well connected, part of the Jet-set of the United States, and for many years a TV celebrity. “Dealmaking” is for him the Maxim of all the action. For him it is always to their own advantage – or now “America First”.
Bolsonaro is a soldier, however, a comparatively unsuccessful Ex-profession. As a captain he served 15 days in the detention cell, before he switched to the Reserve. After that, he spent six terms in Parliament as a backbencher, where he distinguished himself as a representative of retired military to win without much influence in politics. He is neither wealthy nor well-connected, apart from the military and the militias in Rio de Janeiro. He knows the world. He does, however, unlike Trump, is also no secret of the fact that he knows to many questions and no answers.
Unexpected Ally: Donald Trump, the Original
Not equal to the mutual appreciation is distributed: While Bolsonaro from his admiration for Trump makes no secret of the fact that the same does not apply Vice versa. For Trump, the non-allied in South America, was hoping for a Present, for he recognizes, so far, hardly had to show. This is likely to change now.
Clear Goals
With all the admiration Bolsonaro for his state visit has clear political objectives. With the journey to the most powerful man in the world he wants in his constituents points of view: In the case of the Evangelicals, that he meets in the U.S., first with believers. Brazilian entrepreneurs and investors, who rely on Bolsonaro, hope that Trump will endorse the admission of Brazil to the OECD, the Club of the industrial countries; the USA, by contrast, Balk. And the military, which dominate in Bolsonaros Cabinet, hoping that Brazil is a close Ally of the United States outside Nato, a so-called Major Non-Nato Ally. In order to get better access to military equipment from the United States. There is also a joint operation of the missile base in Alcântara, a Brazilian small town on the Equator, would be for the military attractive.
The wish list, the Brazilian is long – the of the United States, however, short. One: Venezuela. For Trump a the end of the dictatorship in the Caribbean is important for the elections in one and a half years. He needs all the logistical, and possibly also military support in Brazil.
Conclusion: At first glance, everything suggests that the two presidents will usher in a new Era of relations between Brazil and the United States. How long it lasts, and what that means for other world regions, such as Europe or China, which is currently poorly forecast.