Theresa May seeks again a majority for Brexit agreement. Or the border issue in Ireland could be solved by a special agreement? In the Cabinet and in the house of Chaos meanwhile.
The expectation, that Theresa May presented on Monday afternoon, with their Plan B, in Parliament, any new approach, will probably be disappointed. “Your door is open, but your head is locked,” said about the Labour MP Hilary Benn will be Meeting with the British Prime Minister.
After the crushing referendum defeat for its Brexit Deal in the last week of May was announced, to talk across party lines with representatives of the Opposition. Now the Prime Minister would have to present a compromise and a Plan B. But the outstretched Hand to the other political camp was more of an empty gesture. May rejects more of any Change in their red lines. A softer Brexit is not for you to discussion.
Plan B Plan A is
Instead, they will attempt to continue their critics in the own rows, with the Northern Irish DUP, and in the case of the hard Tory Brexiteers to persuade, in order to prevent a split in their own party.
It will probably take a new start for negotiations with the EU, the reinsurance to amend against a hard limit in Ireland, the so-called Backstop. So far, the EU, to limit him in time refuses. And whether the dissenters would be satisfied with that is also open. There is, therefore, expected to be more of the Same, May, and their government is turning endlessly in circles.
A special agreement with Ireland?
A proposal from the cycle to break out could be according to Reports in British media the idea to solve the border issue through a special agreement with Ireland. However, it is questionable how far a member of the EU, Ireland could sign a separate Deal with Britain.
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As on a powder keg
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“We’re sitting on a powder keg”
And as a kind of Anglo-Irish customs Union should work? Ireland’s foreign Affairs Minister, Simon Coveney, waving: His government would support the withdrawal agreement with the EU, more fully, “including the negotiated Backstop”.
A Downing Street spokesman denied in the course of Sunday these messages, such proposals are not known. Just a few hours earlier, trade Minister Liam had run Fox in politics talk show on the BBC: the way out of The cul-de-SAC could be an agreement with Ireland on an “alternative mechanism” to avoid border controls.
The Cabinet is in Chaos
The Chaos in Mays Cabinet. Individual Ministers with completely contradictory Statements to the Public. Liam Fox about warned Europe friends not to hijack the “Brexit”. Other Ministers, such as Amber Rudd seek a compromise solution and a softer exit. Above it all is back hanging again, threats of various Cabinet not members, if things develop in your mind. Theresa May has already lost a dozen Ministers and high-level employees.
Parliament, rehearsing the Rebellion
Moderate Conservatives, such as Dominic Grieve, is Worried that the splitting of the two major parties over the Brexit ride the country in a No-deal Brexit can plunge. He is trying, among other things, this result by a cross-party Initiative by voting to exclude. The Brexit-the spokesman of the Labour Party, Keir Stamer, in turn, is struggling now for a second Referendum. Behind it all is the attempt of some members to gain control of the agenda, which is traditionally exercised by the government.
Speaker of Parliament John Bercow and his “Order!”-Calls are international famous
In the framework of its possibilities Speaker John Bercow was in the process so far. The rules in the British house of Commons are based on Tradition and are interpretable. The government May angry guide over Bercows kind of, the discussion, and sees you already as a violation of the practice. The Speaker may allow, at its discretion, applications from members of Parliament and put it to the vote.
In addition to the Initiative, to prevent the No-deal, were also formulated amendments to the Brexit-date to postpone, or a second Referendum to allow. In the discussion of a number of individual votes across different Brexit is to be held, in addition, variants, such as the customs Union or Norway solution, to find out where the majorities lie in Parliament.
As it is expected that May will not disappoint with the presentation of their Plan B, the majority of the deputies, decides the further procedure according to whether and how many members of Parliament impose their vote on the future of Brexit and what to enforce. Who wins this power struggle will determine the future of the country and the form of the Brexit.
May could have a second Chance, your Deal in their own ranks, nor to enforce or a majority in Parliament to take the helm of your Plan. Of elections up to a second Referendum, an extension of the exit date, a softer or no Brexit all the possibilities in the game.