London: What comes after the confidence vote?

0
271

315 MEPs decide today whether to Theresa May, British Prime Minister remains a Minister. If you lose the vote, is expected to have serious consequences for the Brexit and for the whole of the United Kingdom.

14 billion letters, the British Royal Mail is to according to their own figures, every year. Now, the political destiny of the country depends on just 48 letters that have arrived in the past few months, the Tory MPs Graham Brady: Brady is the chief of the so-called 1922 Committee, which organized the back benches of the British Parliament. The senders are all conservative MPs calling for a vote of no-confidence against the Prime Minister, Theresa May (the article’s picture).

With 48 letters, the threshold of 15 percent of the conservative group in Parliament, which is why Brady has called for Wednesday evening to a vote in the Committee room of London Parliament in Westminster. All 315 of the conservative MEPs are allowed to participate. The vote runs until 20 o’clock UK time (21 CET), then the votes are tallied and the result announced.

What happens if May wins the vote?

In the UK it is usual that in the case of important votes, parliamentarians, even from the hospital pre-bussing – “wheeled into Parliament” is a fixed expression. It may be with rain participation is expected, so that Theresa May needs 158 votes to win for sure. Prominent Tories, including several Ministers, have already announced to vote for Theresa May, the Reuters news Agency, there were 158 public statements. This is, therefore, likely that the majority of the conservative deputies of the head of government in favour of the trust. Even the bookmakers expect with a victory Mays. This vote is for the full twelve months of binding: as long As no new vote of no confidence should be held. So today’s vote Mays could strengthen your Position for the end of March the planned withdrawal of Britain from the EU.

Formally, a result would be sufficient for just over 50 percent of the votes cast. Politically, many of the Apostates would weaken their Position for the forthcoming Brexit. Whether you could remain in no 10 Downing Street, would be uncertain.

Need Theresa May vacate their official residence in London’s Downing Street?

What happens if May loses the vote?

If the previous forecasts are wrong, and Theresa May have missed the absolute majority of Tory MPs but, then begins a battle by their successor. For this case, it is expected that several candidates will bring their name into the game. It is a vote, as follows, in the case of a casting show: In any ballot, the candidate is ruled out for the least conservative members voted. In the final between the two strongest candidates, the base would be involved with; then all the party were allowed to vote on members for at least three months.

Theresa May had come by such a procedure, 2016 to the office after her predecessor, David Cameron had announced after the lost Brexit vote for his resignation. In the last round, they competed at the time with Andrea Leadsom, withdrew her candidacy. Leadsom is currently Minister of energy, and has already announced in May a vote of confidence. Also the interior Minister, Sajid Javid and Minister for foreign Affairs, Jeremy Hunt, have been known to your head of government.

When it comes to elections?

The upcoming vote is a matter within the ruling Conservative party. However, the Opposition could submit to the house a motion of censure on the then all 650 MPs would vote. It is possible that Labour as the largest opposition party with such a request, if May wins the internal party vote. If the majority view is, “that this house has no confidence in the Royal government”, the clock starts ticking. If within 14 days no new government is formed, which wins the confidence of the lower house, the Parliament in its own resolution. Theresa May, which would lead Commissioner of the office, would then have to propose to Queen Elisabeth II. an election date. Finally, it came in 1979, to take this step to crashed as a minority government of the Labour party on a Referendum on a devolved power structure. The then opposition leader Margaret Thatcher won the subsequent election for the Conservative party.

Regardless of this vote of no confidence from the Parliament has to trust a second possibility of early elections to initiate: It must vote with a Two-thirds majority for a premature end of the parliamentary term. A possible May-successor could ask the Parliament to end the current crisis in leadership. Theresa May has used this passage in 2017, because they promised at the time of an election with a stronger majority in order to bring the Brexit more comfortable across the finish line. At that time you squandered, however, and has ruled ever since in a minority government, tolerated by the Northern Irish DUP. These rejects but Mays from the exit agreement because of the so-called Backstops – a regulation that would establish a customs border between Northern Ireland and the Rest of the Kingdom, in order to avoid a so-called “hard border” between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland.

In Westminster, both chambers of the British Parliament seats in the first chamber, the House of Commons has to trigger the two options, elections

Which would mean Mays defeat for the Brexit?

Actually, Jun wanted to buy some time for further concessions from the EU by the planned Parliament vote on the withdrawal agreement is cancelled at short notice. Because you ausbootete the Parliament in such a way, it seems to have more members and against the applied. Now, it is unclear whether this Treaty make it to Westminster. In view of a possible defeat May have said, as a successor to “have time to a withdrawal agreement to negotiate the new, and the legislation to 29. To bring in March by the Parliament”. Therefore, the exit process should be extended or repealed. The delay exit from the EU or hold him even.

This Argument must Brexit-weigh the hard-liners, if you decide whether you want to saw May today, really. If the Prime Minister has to go, depends on the further design of the Brexits to your successor – and who is that, is completely open. A successor could try to organize a majority in Parliament for Mays resignation agreement. He or she could also seek election, or to a second Referendum and, therefore, the Brexit, in principle, to the Disposition. Only this week the European court of justice clarified that the UK could stop the Brexit easily one-sided.