On Tuesday, the British Parliament begins with a five-day debate about the Brexit Deal. Expected Theresa May will lose the vote next week. Thereafter, the political cards are reshuffled.
At the G20 summit Theresa May had tried, rather unsuccessfully, to sell “Global Britain” as a new trading partner. And as soon as she had stepped out of the plane from Buenos Aires, she sat again on the Sofa of the Breakfast show for ITV. If your husband is Worried, sometimes your health, tried by the Moderator, the Prime Minister is a human reaction out of. Your husband fully support, gave it back and fell immediately back into the well-known Maybot mode: “We need to keep the nerves”, you still have a Job to do, she wanted to deliver the Brexit, the people wanted to, and so on. Theresa May has switched to stoic and stubborn, probably in the hope to survive the coming week in the house of Commons.
Five-day debate will deepen the dispute
May will also open up this debate in the Parliament and on Wednesday, the normal question hour. In order to win cards in any case, Diligence and beats all recent records for the presence of a Prime Minister in the lower house. But mass is also a class? She has denied her recent performances in front of deputies as media from the same box with clichés and seems to grasp the last parliamentary round, before the vote, than by holding exercise.
Tirelessly Theresa May in the fights under the house next to your-Brexit Deal
The house is completely divided: in the Meantime, both Conservatives and Labour are divided-Opposition in each case in a plurality of groups with different positions for the Brexit Deal. Clearly different, clearly seems, however, that Theresa May is going to lose the vote, if the entire Opposition votes as announced, the Northern Irish DUP and sections of the Tories. It’s probably only a matter of how deep will be the case.
Scoffers have long observed that the main performance of the Brexit deal is to bridge the irreconcilable Gulf between Brexiteers and Pro-Europeans as well as between the Opposition and the government – all agreed that they reject him from the heart.
How much freedom the Deal?
A new dispute has now arisen because of the legal opinion of the advocate General, to the Brexit Deal. The Opposition had demanded that the entire report to the house of Commons. The government does not want to, in turn, expect the members more, because of the potentially explosive findings on the to sustainability of the customs Union.
It was released on Monday, only a sanitized version, which also contained all kinds of banalities. For example, that the UK had to pay as long in the EU as it remains in the transition phase. Or that the next government will be bound to the Deal, even if you reject him. This is in the case of international treaties.
The Opposition with Jeremy Corbyn wants to see the full legal opinion to the Brexit published
The biggest excitement revolves around the interpretation of the “Backstop” for Ireland. The top lawyer of the government, therefore, concludes that the Kingdom remain in the temporary customs Union caught up, there will be a new agreement with the EU. Thus, the UK could well be able to own new trade agreements with third countries. For the Brexiteers this is the final stone of stumbling and for Labour as further proof that the Deal brings no added value at all.
Now the parliamentarians want to see the unedited version of the legal opinion, in order to find more arguments against the Prime Minister and your contract. In the next few days, the clear circle of May-the faithful will have in Westminster.
How to continue after the anticipated defeat?
On Monday, The Times reported: “on”, the unionist DUP wants to pull its support for the government May back. Thus, the Prime Minister would have lost their majority and their political end is virtually sealed.
The DUP signalled the political end of Theresa May?
Apart from this, the Labour Party announced, in the meantime, you wool after the Brexit vote a no-confidence request a vote against May. Whether this happens depends on the Severity of their defeat, whether or not the DUP off actually, as the majority earner, as well as the voices of a couple of tough Tory Brexiteers, the May want to overthrow.
May loses the vote, the Conservative two weeks time, to make a potentially a majority of the eligible replacement candidates. Hopes makes the environment Minister, Michael Gove, is currently halfway loyal to May and as the voice of reason profiles. Also Minister of the interior, Sajit Javid is traded. The choice of a new Prime Minister does not work, will be new elections.
It is not, in turn, to the vote of no confidence with the Chance of new elections, wants Labour to shift instead to a second Referendum. Their Chairman Jeremy Corbyn would have to bring in a bill, and a majority in Parliament. Currently, it looks like it could work.
Many of the British, the question of whether Brexit is worth it at all
Nothing is over until everything is over
For the EU, the long-drawn-out battle for the Brexit means that it will be in December there is still no clarity about the future. That is to say, the preparations for a hard Brexit would have to be pursued, although the British declared the lower house, it may prevent him in any case. Brussels, too, must set itself to receive a request for an extension of the article-50-deadline in March. Because the available time is sufficient due to the Christmas break, neither for a second Referendum for new elections.
In London, of the hand currently circulating on illusory ideas, such as Theresa May to Brussels to return to better terms. Or the proposal before the 29. March 2019 to put the whole Brexit-train on the “Norway Plus” Rail, so an agreement to negotiate, that of the Scandinavians with the EU resembles. He comes from a few conservative members of Parliament and finds sympathy among some Labour people. After that, the UK would remain in the single market of the customs Union, which is to prevent economic harm and the Northern Ireland-would solve the Problem. However, the whole idea of Brexit with sovereignty and control for the national state would become totally absurd. Four months before the exit from the EU, said the future for the UK is unclear.