Crown Prince Mohammed, in search of his future

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The alleged murder of the journalist Jamal Khashoggi has the discussion on the legitimacy of the Saudi kindled king’s house. Above all, the political future of the crown Prince is anything other than safe.

Yes, said the Saudi king Salman, his country to end support the efforts of the United Nations, the war in Yemen. The middle East conflict have for the Kingdom is of the highest priority. For the solution of the Syria war to put up in Riad as well, said the king, in his annual Shura-speech, the speech in front of the highest Advisory body of the country.

The king formulated the three political objectives, all of which are in line with the concerns of the United Nations. This year, they have a sense to bring the political scientist Marwan Kabalan on the website of the Qatari channel Al-Jazeera: the Saudi policy back on its traditional course. Was advised after the alleged murder of the Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi is massively in the criticism.

Commitment of the king to his son?

However, one fell over, so Kabalan: On the alleged murder of Khashoggi king Salman had referred only indirectly, and very incidentally, namely, in that Passage in which he praised the justice system of the country. This “fulfill his duty in the service of justice,” declared the king. This statement and believed that this was a commitment of the king to the crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Kabalan.

This assessment is accurate, it could hint in the speech of the further course of the king’s house in the affair Khashoggi and the related question of the future role of crown Prince MBS, as the crown Prince is known for short,. In the view of the king of the affair Khashoggi would then be with the arrest of 18 defendants for five of them, justice calls for the death penalty – enough done. This would mean that the crown Prince would, in the eyes of the Saudi government, innocent and is likely to lead the office. It also suggests that the crown Prince will represent the end of the month his country at the G20 summit in Argentina.

Family cohesion: king Salman (li.) and crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (re.)

If, however, it is actually the way the king presents it in his speech, allegedly, is open. The Saudi Royal family have to struggle with a fundamental difficulty, says the Saudi, living Ireland and activist Abdul Aziz al-Moayyed in an interview with DW: It was legitimised by politicians. “The Royal family gets its legitimacy from its own population, but from abroad. Mohammed bin Salman was able to climb in the Moment, in which he received the US green light.”

USA: criticism of the crown Prince

This green light is on now but, at least, to the Flickering. In the United States, the criticism of the crown Prince increases, especially after the CIA had declared, in your assessment, the crown Prince was personally for the murder of Khashoggi responsible. For next Tuesday, the American intelligence service has announced a comprehensive report.

US President, Donald Trump had stated he didn’t agree with the assessment of the intelligence service. Trump referred to the conclusion at the weekend as “very premature”. Crown Prince, Mohammed had assured him repeatedly to have nothing to do with the murder.

However, in Washington there is always more influential voices to speak to the President. The crown Prince was “unbalanced” and “irrational,” said Republican Senator Lindsey Graham. It could not believe that the MBS of the conspiracy knew nothing. “If he is the face and voice of the future of Saudi Arabia, the Kingdom is likely to face on the international stage a tough time,” says Graham. “Legally, we do as much as possible, to give the world a Signal.”

Similar to his counterpart, the also Republican Senator Rand Paul said. “It seems to me to provide overwhelming evidence that the crown Prince was involved,” said Paul. “We need to punish those who of the edict – the one who is in office.”

God have mercy on his soul. A symbolic funeral prayer for Jamal al-Khashoggi, in Istanbul, 16. November 2018

Difficulties of withdrawal

However, a resignation of the crown Prince would preclude some of the difficulties, writes the Israeli newspaper “Haaretz” in an analysis. MBS was alleged to have been in the year 2006 by the family as successor to the king’s chosen. Although this Council was authorized also, the crown Prince re-remove, but this had never happened. Also problematic, the second way of deposition, Haaretz, namely, by the king himself. The would admit it, but that he had made a mistake in the appointment of his successor.

Also MBS is likely to seek to prevent his deposition with all his strength, assumed the newspaper. “After the crown Prince was willing to sacrifice his two Top advisors as scapegoats to appease the United States and the international community, it is likely to add little voluntarily in his retirement.”

Apart from that, the Prince was very much dependent on the USA, the newspaper said. There, the CIA, the Congress and public opinion would decide his fate, especially in three instances:.

With bone saw on the kidnapping?

The assumption is true, one could expect the political destiny of the crown Prince to no Good: Leading media have shot long ago on the crown Prince’s protection and are now also President of the Trump. “Why do you bring to a kidnapping, a bone saw, your Highness,” übertitelte the Washington Post, Jamal Khashoggi, wrote for the dial – a Essay. The Text is unfolded in the little fitting style, and in many cases revised chain of reasoning, developed by the Saudi government after the death of Khashoggis. The fundamental weakness of the arguments suggests not only a rhetorical question-meaning a question of the comment: What is the need for a abduction of a bone saw? In the light of recent findings by the Washington Post also asks the American President: “Why do you support this crime?”

Saudi investments in the United States, the supply of the oil Market, the joint strategic partnership against Iran: All of this, the United States and Saudi Arabia ties. The crown Prince believe, apparently, that he could convince the leading American representative of his innocence. Maybe the succeeded him. “But that doesn’t mean that the Rest of us are part of that March,” the Washington Post.

Saudi-German relationship crisis. Foreign Minister Heiko Maas (li.) with his Saudi counterpart Adel bin Ahmed Al-Jubeir, September 2018

Growing international pressure

International pressure is growing. On Monday, the German Foreign office has responded with an 18-entry forbidden for a Saudi suspect and a complete arms export stop. In the case of the ban on entry of persons concerned, it is, according to the foreign office, the alleged 15-strong Murder squad, as well as three other persons are said to have been involved in the organization. The Saudi crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is not one of them.

In Parts of the Arab media, the pressure rises also. The Trump Administration track in the relationship to Saudi Arabia, although precisely defined interests, writes to the channel Al-Jazeera related sheet, “Al-arabi al-jadeed”. However, “As long as it can afford the USA to declare to the world that justice, human rights, and freedom to dissent are no longer part and that bloody autocrats such as MBS should have the Say, without having to be accountable to?”

Saudi Arabia: the discontent of The citizens

The pressure on Saudi Arabia to grow. Not only foreign but also domestic politics, says social activist Abdul Aziz al-Moayyed in an interview with DW. “The citizens of the Kingdom are unhappy about the taxes, the unemployment, the war in Yemen and the escape of Saudi money abroad. At the same time, a sense of fear prevails.”

Many factors contribute to the stability of the country. Prince Mohammed bin Salman, is required.

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CIA: Saudi Arabian crown Prince ordered Khashoggi-murder