Spahn, Kramp-Karrenbauer, or Merz?

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Who will follow Angela Merkel at the CDU Executive chair? In the ARD-deutschlandtrend, every second of the CDU trailer for Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer voted almost. A request: The party should be more conservative.

Over a three-week Federal Congress takes place in Hamburg, the CDU, Angela Merkel, after 18 years of the party presidency. Your successor several candidates apply. The best prospects have the CDU General Secretary Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, the Federal Minister of health, Jens Spahn, and the former Chairman of the CDU/CSU group in the Bundestag, Friedrich Merz. Kramp-Karrenbauer is the favourite of Angela Merkel and is considered to be a candidate in the middle. Merz and Spahn are attributed to the conservative wing of the CDU, and are considered to be political opponents of the Chancellor.

Are entitled to vote at the 7. December 1001 delegates at the party Congress. They are sent from the CDU land associations. All of the CDU would be able to decide-trailers or all voters in Germany, then it would probably make Kramp-Karrenbauer of the race.

On the question of the opinion research Institute infratest dimap, who should inherit Angela Merkel at the CDU Executive chair, decided almost every second CDU supporters and 43 percent of the persons entitled to vote for the candidate in the race. Significantly different preferences to Express men and women. While in the men’s Kramp-Karrenbauer, and Friedrich Merz, 37, or 39 per cent Annegret almost on a par lie, the Secretary-General, in the case of women, with 50 per cent, clearly ahead of Merz with 26 percent.

Debate on the reorientation of the CDU

Who will always make the race for the party presidency, will also determine the future course of the CDU significantly. A clear majority of German citizens (87 percent) welcomes the fact that a realignment is discussed. In the case of the CDU-are followers, it is even 92 percent.

Half of the respondents currently unaccounted for substantive clarity in the CDU. 50 percent state that the CDU has achieved in recent years in the Federal government, nothing that would be particularly noticed. In comparison to spring, the desire of the CDU trailer to a more conservative orientation has become stronger. However, a slight majority is still of the opinion that the party is exactly positioned correctly.

The future of the Chancellor and her interior Minister

What about Angela Merkel, if she has given the party chairmanship? It can and should continue to be Chancellor, how you want it? Most of the respondents answered in the affirmative. Only the followers of the FDP and the AfD are a majority that Merkel makes before the expiry of the term place in the Chancellery.

Not only Angela Merkel is the party presidency, also Minister of the interior, Horst Seehofer, will take place from the top of his party, the CSU. At the same time, he has reiterated to the Federal Minister of the interior. In the population of his whereabouts in the Federal Cabinet, unlike in the case of Angela Merkel – bit support. Three-quarters of Germans are of the opinion that he should submit to the office of the Minister of the interior. Only a quarter believes that Seehofer will continue to remain in office.

The desire for a withdrawal Seehofer’s from the Federal government is also widely used in the Union-followers: 74 percent call for its withdrawal from the top of the interior Ministry. This applies mostly also for the Supporters of the other parties, with the exception of the AfD: The following want to keep Seehofer, the majority of Minister of the interior.

If the Sunday parliamentary election would be

The rotating staff carousel at the Union parties on their electoral support, still no effect. The Bundestag would be this Sunday election, then the Union would be unchanged on 26 per cent. Little movement is also seen in the case of the other parties, the Greens and make a giant leap to the top.

23 percent of the voters would currently vote for the Greens. This is an increase of six points from the last ARD-Deutschland trend, directly in front of the Bavarian state election.

The growing popularity of the Greens in the survey by Infratest dimap attributable to the continued high level of dissatisfaction of the voters with the big government coalition of the CDU and the SPD. As before, three-quarters of Germans less (54 percent) or not at all satisfied (21 percent), with the work of the coalition. Only a quarter (25 per cent) expressed satisfaction over the course of the Berlin Cabinet.

SPD in the valley of tears

The social Democrats sink in the polls. Only 14 percent would reach the SPD, if the Sunday parliamentary election would be. A good two-thirds of the citizens do not find that they did not know in the case of the SPD, what it stands for actually. Of the SPD-supporters of each of the second criticism of the content of disorientation.

A large majority (75 percent) also criticised that the renewal of the SPD is progressing under the leadership of Andrea Nahles. Well half of the citizens (56 percent) can account for no social-democratic government’s achievements in the last few years, which would be particularly noticed. Majority support (75 percent), however, that the SPD think about it, to correct the Hartz-IV laws.