No comment from the EU to the technical agreement on the Brexit Treaty. For the negotiators is clear: The British Prime Minister May have to sell him now at home. Brussels remains little room for Changes.
The Deal is almost a secret thing. In the course of this Wednesday, the EU will be informed Ambassador in Brussels to discuss the details. It’s about the last Stand of the negotiations that has been achieved since last week in day – and night-time meetings between the negotiators. On Tuesday, Sabine Weyand for the EU arrived-page and Ollie Robbins for the British government to the point where the maximum approach to the respective demands and red lines was achieved. The Rest depends on political decisions.
Decision-over 400 pages of legal text
First of all, the withdrawal of the contract: 400 pages of legal Text with comments, which is pretty impenetrable. Insiders know, however, is to find where the sticking points. The Minister in Theresa may’s Cabinet in London had, however, to believe largely in line with the declarations of its Prime Minister, because they only had a few hours of time, the contract is a screened in reading room to browse.
The outline is now a series of leaks in Brussels and London is relatively clear. They had cleared at the end of all the problems, of the exit payment, on the rights of the citizens on the other side, the modalities of the transition phase until the end of 2020, and all other regulations, in order to separate the almost 40 years of growing community.
The Prime Minister May: High emotional Front
In the end, the border remained in question for Northern Ireland. The negotiators now suggest that the UK will avoid a hard limit there, even after the transitional period in the EU customs Union. Thus, the cross-border traffic could run freely. However, Northern Ireland should remain close to the EU rules, so that checks can really be omitted. A sticking point for the Northern Irish DUP, which supports Theresa may’s minority government.
The temporary customs Union costs, however, is its price: the UK will have to continue to apply EU rules and regulations, including environmental, labour market and state aid. The European economy fears otherwise, the British would be Dumping-make deals and offer. And, contrary to British wishes, the end of this customs Union will be decided by a joint EU-GB-Committee. There is no unilateral exit clause, such as the Brexiteers you asked, the talk of “slavery” for the UK.
In addition, the agreement provides for a revision clause for the summer of 2020, where before the end of the transition period, it is decided how to do next. The EU offers to the British, to extend the Phase of the legal Status quo, where everything stays as it is now, and only the rights of membership have expired.
Not all EU countries are completely happy
Although Angela Merkel had warned on Tuesday before the European Parliament in Strasbourg once again, you should deal with it the best as possible with the British, because now the Foundation of the subsequent relationship. But not all countries will be pleased with the Brexit Treaty. Some fear that the UK economy could gain advantages over their European competitors if the country is allowed to remain in the customs Union. It will be up to the EU-Commission to monitor the compliance with the rules strictly.
Chancellor Merkel in Strasbourg: soft laid for the later ratio
In addition to this, the largest concession to the United Kingdom, the Europeans have indulged in some of the other points. For example, France, the Netherlands and Spain are likely to be upset, because the EU chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, the fisheries question in the divorce except the contract and the clarification has to be postponed to the later future negotiations. For Theresa May, the granting of access for EU fishermen would be opened to British waters, a further highly emotional Front and reduces the Chance to bring the Deal home by Cabinet and Parliament.
Future and emergency preparations
In addition to the divorce contract, a multi-page policy statement is prepared, in which the basic features of the future relationship between the European Union and the UK is outlined. And based on it should be a similar scheme as with the “temporary customs Union” is the goal. It is clear that this part is like the Brexiteers still less than the terms and conditions of the exit. Because then the Kingdom would be limited in the future in their own trade agreements by EU rules. It shows that the practice of Brexit is much more complicated and tighter, as its proponents have promised.
In addition, the EU Commission has promoted-in spite of the technical agreement – the emergency preparations for a No – Deal-Brexit. This is on the one hand, a part of the action and on the other hand, real caution. Even after the Brexit special summit, the for the 25. November is planned, it remains unclear whether the British Parliament approves the Treaty, and how to do it in the case of A “No” in Westminster.
And what if there is no Brexit?
“It is a remarkable performance of Theresa May on a Deal that nobody likes,” the Scottish members of the European Parliament Alyn Smith to the point. The Plan may please neither the Northern Ireland, where the peace process is more fragile. He liked the Scots because they were against Brexit and hit feel. He does not like the Pro-Europeans, because he is much worse than the EU-membership. And he doesn’t like the Brexiteers, because he freed them radically different from the EU rules.
MEP Smith: “A Deal that pleases nobody”
“The memory of the 1. War has once again shown that modern countries do stupid things,” adds Smith. He now wanted to work in a non-partisan, that the EU gives the British more time. “New elections, a new government, a second Referendum – everything is possible at the moment. The Situation is very dynamic.”
His colleague Richard Corbett of the Labour Party relies on a small extension: If the British Parliament will refuse in December, the Deal, the Prime Minister, opening the opportunity to consult the British people in a second Referendum, whether they want a Brexit really. “Public opinion has changed now,” says Corbett. And the Labour Party, who hesitated for so long has the Pro to support European and “Remain”, would then call in Parliament a second referendum. The necessary legislation would from 2016 to copy, but for handling you need a little more time than up to 29. March of next year. He got signals from the European Parliament that the EU-member countries participate, and the Brits a second Chance would give.