Brexit on the finish straight?

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According to British press, the Brexit to reports, negotiations are nearing completion: A customs Union, “light” with the EU could solve the Irish border question. But London denied and Brussels keeps covered.

Officially, the Brexit negotiations in Brussels in the “Tunnel” – the self-imposed news blackout, which will allow the traders the opportunity to Test proposals without any movement will immediately be shot down in the media and by the Pro – and Anti-Brexit-Store in the United Kingdom are analyzed. At the weekend, the “Times reported” from a breakthrough, pointing to a planned leak of the British side. The whole of the UK will temporarily remain after the Brexit more in a kind of reduced customs Union with the EU, and thus the vexing border issue in Northern Ireland are dissolved, said the newspaper. A government spokesman in London denied immediately such a “breakthrough” and EU representatives in Brussels did not want to comment on the status of talks.

The Brexit Deal is a solution to the Irish border question

A customs Union “light” is the solution of the Irish boundary question?

The last major hurdle before the completion of the Brexit negotiations is the question of how a hard border between the EU member Ireland and the UK Region of Northern Ireland can be avoided. So far, the government in London had rejected all Attempts of Brussels, strictly, a so-called reinsurance and Northern Ireland to bind closer to EU rules. According to the report of the “Times” could be the whole of the UK in a kind of customs Union, which would on the one hand, controls on the new EU external border in Northern Ireland, superfluous, and on the other hand, London is a certain amount of freedoms for different rules to give.

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Brexit splits Northern Ireland

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Brexit splits Northern Ireland

However, the devil is in the Detail. If it should not give this customs Union “light” an opt-out clause, because Theresa May gets otherwise your Brexiteers to the boat, then the question of a “Backstop”, so the reinsurance are once again going for the Irish boundary question, that is to say continue to be open borders. Because, after all, is not sure whether the future relationship with the United Kingdom, which will stand at the end of a renewed multi-year negotiations, can solve the Problem in an enduring way. It is unclear whether they will actually stay as close to the EU rules, that there is no hard limit in Northern Ireland would have to arise.

The idea that it is not only Northern Ireland but the whole of the UK could temporarily until the final clarification of the future relationship, to remain in a kind of customs Union, has already been launched before the failed October summit of the EU. Thus, negotiators Michel Barnier tried to circumvent the difficulty that the Northern Irish arch-conservative DUP rejects any deviation from the rules in Northern Ireland from those in the rest of the United Kingdom strictly. After a visit to Brussels by the DUP Manager Arlene Forster in October this Front seemed to become even harder. The concession made by the EU side could lie in the temporary customs Union with the whole of the Kingdom in the divorce agreement with the UK and thus legally binding.

May can change the minds of your Cabinet?

Can Theresa May persuade the Brexiteers in your Cabinet?

Two weeks ago the hard Brexit advocates had rejected Theresa May’s Cabinet of Ministers, a customs Union solution all around, because one of the objectives of the exit would undermine the independent trade policy. And the Prime Minister had given the new roll-over the promise of threats, they would not engage in it. It is still not clear what happened to the new trial so fundamentally changed, in order to convince the opponent.

This Tuesday is already the Prime Minister wants, so it is reported, the Cabinet on the status of the negotiations and his approval win. Mays critics smell is already a sham: The former Brexit-Minister David Davis urged them to publish the legal Review of the EU’s offer by government lawyers, to avoid later confusion and different interpretations.

Is want to test the message in the weekend press, so a kind of trial balloon, with the Theresa May, the warring camps respond in their government on the proposed solution? Brexit-Minister Dominic Raab had already fired a few days ago, the expectations of a prospective agreement to 21. November talking about. After that, could still be observed nearly of the schedule, which provides for a special summit in Brussels at the end of the month to seal the exit of the contract. Then enough time to let the British Parliament before the Christmas break, the vote would be in December just yet. On this tight schedule, depends seen the threat with the No-Deal, in the disorderly exit by the end of March next year, with the May your critic tries to keep in check and to force your consent.

Hundreds of thousands were demonstrating in London in October for a second Brexit Referendum

Skepticism in the economy grows

On the weekend, around 70 business leaders signed a call for a second Referendum. This week, a number of companies wants to start a group to support the “People’s Vote”, in order to strengthen the movement for a second Brexit vote. You want to give the voters the opportunity to accept the outcome of the negotiations for the EU exit or vote for remaining in the European Union. In October a large demonstration in London had been brought up to 700,000 Britons on the road, the demand for such a second Referendum.

The entrepreneurs establish their call now that the Brexit advocates would not comply with their promises. “The business world is ( … ) that it would continue to provide smooth flow of trade with the EU and the security of the future relations that we need for long-term investment decisions.” Instead, am now an uncertain or even a hard, destructive Brexit. The voters would have to be allowed on the issue based on the specific Situation to decide again. The British government refuses to its second vote in the opposition Labour party a lot of supporters, more categorically.