A wasted Sunday, Theresa May, and the army of their enemies, and David Davis wants undecided no expensive cat in the bag, the useless her Majesty’s Opposition is, and how you are simmering a frog.
It was a Sunny Sunday in Brussels, as the news of a possible Brexit-agreement burst in. A couple of dozen correspondents left their gardens and Cafétische and gathered in the EU-Commission. The atmosphere was full of expectation: “thank God, now it is soon over.”
But then the British Brexit-Minister Dominic Raab arrived in the afternoon, and after an hour I was again at Zero. What had happened? He had said changed a look to the technical agreement reached by the negotiators thrown, a few words with Michel Barnier, “no” and was left again.
The Problem was, and is, Northern Ireland. The EU wants to prevent at any price that there is a hard limit arises, in order to preserve the good Friday agreement. And it’s harder than it seems, because you have to immerse yourself in the Depths of sectarian local politics and ideological Brexitismus, in order to understand the chasm to bridge it.
At the negotiating table, officials sit sober and quite clever. The Teams from both sides had screwed a long time at the complicated legal language in the exit agreement around until at the end of a quite undramatic, and to outsiders is hardly understandable description for the so-called Backstop was found, the reinsurance against a Northern Ireland border. But politics triumphed over reason, and the Deal was called off. It was a waste of a beautiful Sunday.
Theresa May, as a warrior
Theresa May has it on all fronts is difficult, as even their enemies admit. When she appeared on Monday in the Parliament, were the deputies as a particularly malicious school class. As you your statement opened with: “We are approaching the final stages of Brexit negotiations,” was her mocking laughter. And the next wave on broke, as Jan said, one must remain “calm and a cool head” preserve.
Theresa May at the opening of an Initiative to combat loneliness in London
After that, they fought bravely for two hours, to explain what is the “Backstop to the Backstop” for Northern Ireland and why the UK is in the customs Union must remain, to avoid a hard limit. Of course this would not last forever, even if there is no clear end date. And of course you would never agree to special arrangements for Northern Ireland, because of the unity of the United Kingdom. And sometime, somehow, Britain would have its own trade agreements.
This came with no side of the house. The Brexiteers raged against the betrayal, and the EU-friends demanded a second Referendum. The ulsterman threaten them with the No-Deal-Brexit and refuse any compromise. The Scots are either against the Brexit, or at least against the Prime Minister. And Labour announced that they would agree to just all around low. In the middle of the racket of your opponent Theresa May was all alone.
To make matters worse, wrote to her former adviser, Nick Timothy an article in the “Sun” and calls on the Prime Minister, “to discover your inner Boudicca”: “It is time for Theresa May to mobilise all their spirit of Resistance and to offer the EU the forehead.” To understand this, one must know that Boudicca was a Celtic Queen, the 60 led to Christ a revolt against the Roman occupiers. Unfortunately, the thing went wrong, and the Romans won the battle. Boudicca is supposed to have at the end of life.
The cat in the bag to buy
David Davis has become the champion for a crisp Heave-Ho-Brexit. In doing so, he forgot that he was until recently self-Brexit-the Minister, and even in December last, a Backstop for Ireland had signed. Completely unencumbered by the past, he shoots against Theresa May and their settlement proposal, because it would offer no guarantee for the future economic relationship with the EU.
David Davis sits down with Nigel Farage on a Podium to advertise for a hard Brexit
“This is a 39 billion pound expensive cat in the bag,” said Davis in an Interview with ITV, and he wanted to pay in the divorce agreement, no child support for Nothing. This, however, lies in the nature of the case: After a divorce, you pay for what you consider the mistakes of the past.
Davis also calls for a clear end date for the whereabouts of the Kingdom in the customs Union. And overall, he sees the advantages of Brexit disappear, because it “could not conclude trade agreements with the Rest of the world”. To sum up: the UK has, through its membership of the EU already trade agreements with most countries in the world. And nobody has yet offered to the British after the Brexit better terms and conditions. But you can hear a defensive tone, if the Brexit will be less glorious than promised?
Her Majesty useless Opposition
Tony Blair called the Brexit “a Dilemma with a big D”. The problems lie in the fact of the outlet, says the former Labour leader, and he advises his party to vote against Theresa may’s agreement with the EU. In addition, Blair is advertising for a second Referendum, so the citizens could decide for themselves.
Tony Blair wants a new Referendum, but he has a self-made credibility problem
The current party leader is sitting, however, the Brexit more on the fence. Jeremy Corbyn would probably be in favour of a second Referendum, or perhaps for Mays Deal votes. He is part of against the Brexit, and partly because he liked the EU. Now Blair stands up and tried to give Labour a clear line. But unfortunately, he is the wrong man. The time would probably do the trick, before the 29. 3. In 2019 a second Referendum. But Tony Blair can’t lead the movement, because his credibility has not been already possessed years ago to the victims of the weapons of mass destruction, Saddam Hussein.
A frog in slowly heating
The first victim of the Brexit in Brussels, Ivan Rogers. The negotiations had hardly begun when the government in London threw its Ambassador to the EU out of it. Rogers was regarded as the best European connoisseurs among the British diplomats. He tends to only the truth in front of Prince thrones.
If you heat the water slowly, the frog sits, he realizes it. It is
Now, he explained in a speech in Trinity College in Cambridge his view on the state of the Brexit, and was sobering: “the reality of the EU deal has really hurt. The EU has heated up since the frog slowly, in terms of the procedures, the processes and the substance. Everything has moved in a direction”.
Rogers smashed Theresa may’s favorite illusion: “In the core economic elements of Chequers (Mays Plan for the future ratio) is the Chance Zero that the EU agrees to this.”
And finally, Rogers believes that the transition period needs to be extended in any case. “The EU is not in a hurry, she has no problems with the agreed Status Quo-Transition, with all the obligations and no Rights of membership for the UK.”
At the point the Brexiteers’re Caught in the ears and shout: “We can’t hear you!”
Brexit-quote of the week
While the Brexit negotiations, the insults in all the political Bearings, always imaginative. Counsel and activist Jo Maugham QC tweeted: “Brexit is like an infestation of wood worms eating away the fabric of our democracy”. You can see the dust literally fall.