The inter-Korean summit, Pyongyang has also set the stalled negotiations between the United States and North Korea. Now we must move to Washington, according to Martin Fritz.
For the third Time this year, the state met the heads of South and North Korea. While Moon Jae In and Kim Jong Un have achieved their common goal, the negotiations between the United States and North Korea to breathe new life into. President Trump signaled want to be. Foreign Minister Mike Pompeo wants to meet his North Korean colleagues Ri Yong Ho in New York.
The positive US reaction is understandable: The young Kim has made a Trump of interesting offers. In particular, the closure of the nuclear complex in Yongbyon should be of interest to the Americans. There was a nuclear reactor and a plant for the production of Plutonium. In comparison, the removal of the rocket test stand Sohae launch of a more symbolic nature.
DW correspondent Martin Fritz
Barter transactions
The actual Dilemma of the negotiations, however, remains for the time being to make The USA a exchange “of nuclear weapons against sanctions,” but North Korea is an exchange “of nuclear weapons against security”. Including Kim is a waiver of the United States on the fall of his regime. The formal expression of a peace Treaty would be. The precursor to this would be an agreement to end the state of war. Allegedly, Trump had promised during his Meeting in Singapore, Kim, such an agreement soon.
For the uninitiated, a peace Treaty sounds as a formal conclusion of the Korean war a good thing. But the consequences are manifold and complex. The Status of U.S. troops would have to be defined in South Korea. Such a contract also means the withdrawal of UN observers from 38. Degree of latitude. The inter-Korean division would be a matter for the Koreans. An attack by the U.S. against North Korea would be against international law.
High hurdles for the peace Treaty
Therefore, a peace might look like contract easily as a belated victory of North Korea in the Korean war and would be stripped of its Propaganda accordingly. However, without confidence-building measures on the part of the United States, the Kim Regime will not let its nuclear and missile visor down. The temporary waiver of maneuvers in South Korea, is not enough. The United States should accept the existence of fear of Kim, a state of war with North Korea to finish, and regional talks on a formal peace Treaty to start.
Of course, such a step would be risky. Ultimately, Trump and Moon have to trust that Kim wants to align his Regime actually new. Under his father and grandfather, North Korea as a pariah behaved and was treated like a pariah. The young Kim seems to want the self-imposed Isolation to give up, motivated by the insight that only a “normal” North Korea and bring his people prosperity and him as the ruler is legitimate.
Friendly welcome for Moon in North Korea
A lot of risk for Kim
In particular, the well-grounded distrust should not be overlooked also that the young rulers of Pyongyang risked his relaxation rate much. So far, the United States, according to the North Korean Propaganda, the source of all Evil. With a supposedly always imminent U.S. attack, the hardships of the people will be justified. Of course, the Propaganda would celebrate a formal end of the war as a victory.
But the Kim Regime would also be forced to justify its existence in a different way, as a Savior of the Korean Nation. But this change will not be easy for Kim to be quite nasty – in a coup by conservative officials and generals, or a bloody uprising of dissatisfied citizens could.
The negotiating strategy of Kim seems to follow old Patterns: He promises a lot and makes only what it costs him only a little. For all of the visible nuclear complex of Yongbyon, for example, was always intended to sacrifice them once in negotiations, while other plants were hidden and secretly could work. Never North Korea has placed a list of all nuclear facilities and nuclear materials on the table, let alone made for inspections.
North Korea will want to retain its nuclear shield as long as possible. However, the Regime has every reason to be, because it doesn’t feel safe. Therefore, it requires an end to the war. If even President of South Korea, Moon sees no danger for the future of his country, then Trump should follow him in this assessment, and at his next Meeting with Kim to sign such an agreement. His services in the North Koreans already. The Ball is now in Washington.