Soybeans were the most important Agricultural product exported to the United States to China export. Now the bean, what can happen, when a trade conflict spiral out of control and a strategy for the boomerang.
Pigs: soy is an important component of the diet
So far, American farmers by the Export of pig feed soya beans to China, so like last year, the trifle of 12.7 billion dollars. The past is the past. In the summer, took US President, Trump many of the Chinese imports with high customs duties; Beijing immediately replied: Since then, a tax of 25 percent is used for soy beans from the USA due.
Many US farmers are now afraid of failures in the case of soy beans. How right you are with your fears, you could visit recently in Kansas City. The U. S. Soybean Export Council, a trade Association of soy farmers, had been invited to a Congress, a representative of China led to them, what to expect: Mu Yan Kui, presented by one of China’s largest soybean processors, a Six-point Plan, China’s pig breeders for the feeding of soy to reduce.
American planting of soybeans with Chinese visitors, Norborne Missouri
27 million tons less
If the Plan becomes a reality and the typical soy-Ration for a Chinese pig of 20 percent of the forage drops to 12 percent – and a fifth pig feed made from soy beans is in other countries, long since obsolete, then China needs in the year to 27 million fewer tonnes of soya beans. More than 80 percent of the U.S. imports to China for the lining fabric.
“A lot of foreign managers and politicians underestimate the resolve of the Chinese, when it comes to support the government in the trade war”, made of soy entrepreneurs from China and his US colleagues know.
And the support of the Chinese pig farmers would have a weight of: at Least 435 million pigs, out of the total of 770 million animals are periods in the world your existence in Chinese stables was recorded in the “Neue Zürcher Zeitung”.
Savings potential in soybean
Now Chinese farmers want to change their feed mixture, said Mu Yan Kui in Kansas City. Alternative protein sources: rape seed and cotton seed belong to the Six-point Plan, the Mu pretended. “The Sino-American trade tensions will promote the wider dissemination of such knowledge inevitably”, suspected Yin Jingdong, a specialist in animal nutrition at the Agricultural University of China in Beijing. The environmental organization WWF estimates that the savings potential for soya in pig breeding is 35 to 65 percent.
Soybean imports from Brazil to Nantong, China
In the last fifty years, the production of soybean according to Figures from the WWF, from 27 million tonnes to nearly 270 million tons, an increase – an increase of ten times. For the expansion of the arable area, the WWF, have been and will always be converted to surfaces of the huge forest and Savannah. 80 percent of the soy beans in the world from USA, Brazil or Argentina. Alone in South America were areas from 2000 to 2010, 24 million hectares of Land to arable.
Who bears the costs?
Obvious that China is trying to first of all, imports from Brazil and Argentina. This is also part of the above-mentioned Six-point Plan. At the beginning of September, a Manager of the Chinese soybean processors Jiusan guessed already, from the USA to China will end in the beginning of the season, only 700,000 tons of soya beans. Last year there were nearly 33 million tons.
At the soy conference in Kansas City, the economy, referred to scientists, Wallace Tyner of the American Purdue University, the contribution of his Chinese colleagues Mu as a “political speech”. Finally, any measure of the cost of present Six-point Plan, the Chinese money.
The cost to American farmers could be higher. James Lee Adams is now a farmer in retirement and was the head of the American Soybean Association. His judgment on trade relations with China: “It takes a long period of time, to trading partners to build, but you can lose it in a night.”
ar (rtr, dpa, WWF – archive)