Power struggle in Vietnam, decided

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Vietnam

Power struggle in Vietnam, decided

Vietnam’s crucial Premier Nguyen Tan Dung is to be objective, the party leadership to take on, not reach. The records shortly before the end of the 12. Party Congress of the CPV.

Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung (standing) and his opposing party Nguyen Phu Trong (right)

All the signs suggest that the dramatic struggle for power between the former General Secretary of the Communist party of Vietnam (CPV), Nguyen Phu Trong, and his opponent, the former Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung decided: Secretary General Trong is as winner

On Monday evening it emerged that the current Prime Minister Dung is no longer on the official list of candidates of the Central Committee would not stand. This was his way to the top of the party is built on. Because from the ranks of the 180-member strong Central Committee, the Politburo is determined, from whose ranks then the General Secretary is elected. On the last possible maneuver, with the help of the 1500 participants of the 12th. Parteikongresses but still on the list to be put, decided not to Dung.

An Unusual Power Struggle

The debate at the Congress was in every respect a novelty. In the past 70 years, obeyed the CPV, at least to the outside iron a collective consensus. How fierce the internal struggles were led, at the end presented the CPV, a uniform line, the party and government child. This also included that the succession for the highest Post in the party and government in good time before the meetings of the party Congress and national Assembly have been negotiated so that they are smooth durchgewinkt could be. This should be the immutable unity of the party to underline that in the Einparteienstaat the monopoly on power.

But this year could be up to the beginning of the Parteikongresses no consensus as to who is on the final list of candidates for the most influential office in the state – of the Secretary – General should stand. Reason was the power struggle between the incumbent Nguyen Phu Trong and Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung.

Under Nguyen Tan Dung grew the Vietnamese economy. However, the corruption.

Conservative Marxists against pragmatic capitalists

Trong is since 2011 Secretary General. He is regarded as conservative, principled, and firmly anchored in Marxism-Leninism. While he tends to China. In his Speeches, he stresses again and again that the survival of the party is of highest importance status.

Dung, of the Maximum of two terms as Premier has taken, appreciate many observers as a pragmatic capitalists. During his years in politics, he has a vast network of supporters and minions. His children, graduates of American universities, and close relatives sit in the political and economic key positions of Vietnam. One of his sons is the youngest Provinzsekretär of Vietnam in the southern province of Kien Giang. Foreign policy is Manure pro-American set.

Old Enmity

Trong and Dung lead has long been a debate. The Manure significantly stepped-up reforms, especially in the economy, where he is about to the free trade agreement Transpacific partnership (TPP) has strong, for many Conservatives hastily or too far. They fear that Vietnam is on the road of socialism could leave and bemängelen for example, under Trong massively in number corruption or inability, the public debt is to get a grip.

Repeatedly failed the Conservatives, however, in the experiment, the Manure to fall. First, because of its involvement in Milliardenverluste when state-owned shipbuilder Vinashin. In 2012 he survived a kind of parteiinternes vote of no confidence. His political Survival secured his good contacts in the party. But this Time, it has to be network before the defeat obviously not able to keep.

Until today based a large part of the legitimacy of the Communist party on the Erkämpfung of independence.

Consequences for the Vietnamese politics

It is not yet decided, whether the old General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong in fact, the new Secretary-General will be. Its place in the Central Committee he was on Wednesday (27.01.2016), however, already secure. Also the occupation of other Spitzenposten, such as the office of the President, the Prime Minister and the Chairman of the national Assembly, are not yet known. But it is already clear that the conservative forces of the party have prevailed.

That means no radical break with the previous political line of Vietnam. The Vietnamese politics does not proceed in jumps. The only exception was the 6. Party Congress of 1986, the CPV, the so-called Doi-Moi policy (renovation policy), transferring the country economically reformed and the Boom of the past 30 years have been initiated.

Such a courageous decision by the new leadership is not expected. You will try to party on the line to bring the security apparatus feared, allegedly by foreign NGOs initiated the “peaceful Evolution” of combat. Compared to bloggers and the media, the government and the party a tougher approach to striking. The urgently needed economic reforms to be careful, however, not be neglected. This is the economic development for the legitimacy of the party is important.